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Here's An Indication For Tomorrow's Open

By Daniel Beighley | TradingMarkets.com
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The markets ended the day lower as pressing war issues and disappointing economic news weighed on sentiment. Price action gapped down and hit its lows by 10:30 am ET, then moved higher throughout the session with a steep sell off in the last hour. Despite the "window dressing" effect, late-day selling indicates weakness going into tomorrow's session, as it's often the smart money that closes the day. Bellwether semiconductors and broker/dealers closed at the bottom of their daily ranges. On the war front, coalition forces remain just outside of Baghdad.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) closed -1.88% at 7992.13. The S&P 500 ($SPX.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) closed -1.78% at 848.12. The Nasdaq ($COMPQ | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) closed -2.10% at 1,340.78.

The only positive sectors were gold and silver ($XAU.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +0.28%, and healthcare ($HMO.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +0.27%.

Biggest losers were semiconductors ($SOX.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -4.42%, Internet ($GIN.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -4.21%, broker/dealers ($XBD.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -2.74%, and software ($GSO.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -2.37%.

In economic news, Chicago PMI disappointed at 48.4 vs. expectations of 50.8.

The Ten Year Note (TYH3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) was +170 at 114 280.

The US dollar (DXH3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) was -0.86 at 99.49.

Volume was average, with the NYSE coming in at 1,360,214,000 and the Nasdaq at 1,543,233,000.

Market breadth was negative, with NYSE declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 1.43, and down volume over up volume by a 3.65 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in at 1.49, and down volume beat up volume by a 3.18 ratio.

The VIX was +1.19 at 33.37. The TRIN was +1.03 at 2.52.

Leading the Dow down were:

Altira (MO | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -6.75% at 29.96, Intel Corp. (INTC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -5.455 at 16.28, Alcoa (AA | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -5.00% at 19.38, Hewlett Packard (HPQ | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -4.30% at 15.55, Boeing (BA | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -3.98% at 25.06, and Walt Disney (DIS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -3.78% at 17.02.

Stocks in the news:

Tobacco company Altria Group (MO | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -6.75% at 29.96, was smacked down after it was reported that its Philip Morris USA division could not produce $12 billion for a bond to appeal a legal  case in Illinois. The stock is a member of TM's Implosion List.

In the chip business, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -7.56% at 6.84, and United Microelectronics (UMC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -8.23% at 3.01, were downgraded by Deutsche Bank to 'sell" from "hold".

Also in the semiconductor world, the Semiconductor Industry Association said that the usually flat first-quarter was hindered by geopolitical issues, and demand should increase for the second half of the year.  Intel (INTC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -5.455 at 16.28, KLA Tencor (KLAC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -4.79% at 35.94, Texas Instruments (TXN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -5.81% at 16.37, and Applied Materials (AMAT | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -4.83% at 12.59.

Electronics retailer Best Buy (BBY | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +0.26% at 26.97, said that it is marketing its Musicland business in order to focus on its core electronics retail business.

Biotech company Imclone (IMCL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -9.91% at 16.54, sold off after postponing the release of its fourth-quarter and year end results due the restatement of financials. 

Software company Checkpoint Software (CHKP | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -2.49% at 14.47, had its first-quarter estimates cut by CSFB who claims the company's competitive edge has deteriorated in the past six months.

Natural gas utilities company El Paso (EP | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +2.54% at 6.05, posted a big loss for the fourth-quarter as it missed its consensus expectations by $0.84.

Food processing company Kellogg (K | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +2.64% at 30.65, was upgraded by Bear Stearns to "outperform" from "peer perform".

Money center bank Wachovia (WB | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -1.33% at 34.07, upped its first-quarter earnings guidance to $0.76-0.78 vs. a consensus of $0.72.

Retailer Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +3.44% at 30.03, was given a positive mention in Barron's over the weekend which claimed the company could go higher due to sales and valuation.

Also in the retail business, Nordstrom (JWN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -6.46% at 16.20, announced that it expects fourth-quarter earnings to come in below below expectations.

Media giant America Online (AOL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -4.31% at 10.86, is being reported to be under investigation by the SEC over whether or not the company misstated $400 million in advertising revenue.

Entertainment company Walt Disney (DIS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -3.78% at 17.02 had its estimates for the full years 2003 and 2004 cut by Goldman Sachs. The firm is now looking for 2003 earnings per share to be $0.59 vs. previous expectations of $0.64.

Oil service company Halliburton (HAL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -3.31% at 20.73, lost a bid for a $600 million contract to help rebuild Iraq.

Auto maker Ford Motor (F | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +1.48% at 7.52, received negative comments in Barron's over the weekend which claimed the company could lose its debt rating if efforts to revitalize its business fail.

Software company Cognizant Tech (CTSH | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), +0.46% at 67.31 had coverage initiated on it by Morgan Stanley at "underweight".

Defense stocks received negative comments in a Barron's article over the weekend which claimed the following companies are showing weakness due to technical indications: Boeing (BA | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -3.98% at 25.06, Raytheon (RTN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -1.76% at 28.37, Alliant Tech Systems (ATK | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -1.08% at 54.01, General Dynamics (GD | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -2.25% at 55.07, L-3 Communications (LLL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -3.36% at 40.17, and Rockwell Collins (COL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), -0.10% at 18.37.

danielb@tradingmarkets.com


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