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Within Striking Distance

By Daniel Beighley | TradingMarkets.com
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The markets were choppy in early trading as price action moved north off the bell, down to its lows by noon ET, then into an uptrend that lasted into the close. Semiconductors, oil service, and computer technology were the biggest gainers; with gold and silver, financial, broker/dealers, and healthcare down modestly.

The Nasdaq Composite's low for the day was only 6% off its September low, while the Nasdaq 100 traded to its lowest levels ever. The S&P 500 is also just 6% form its September low, which means we're within striking distance of hitting levels not seen since 1998. The fact that the indexes were able to reverse from the day's lows gives us a bullish bias into tomorrow.  

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) closed up 1.05% at 9617.71. The S&P 500 ($SPX | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) closed up 0.65% at 1020.26. The Nasdaq ($COMPQ | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) closed up 1.46% at 1519.13.

U.S. Treasury Bonds were up 12 at 103 '12.

The economic event of the day came in the form of the Fed's "beige book," which described our economy as undergoing modest, but uneven growth.

Grabbing headlines was the arrest for insider trading of Imclone's (IMCL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 3.70% at 7.83, former chairman and chief executive, Sam Waksal. This story helped weigh on negative sentiment, as similar accusations were made to his friend Martha Stewart of Martha Stewart Living (MSL | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 12.28% at 15.00.

Market breadth was mostly negative, with NYSE declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 1.08, and down-volume over up-volume by a 1.42 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in at 1.25, and up-volume beat down-volume by a 1.29 ratio. The VIX was down 0.48 at 26.98. The TRIN was down 0.22 at 1.36.

Above-average volume moved the Dow to close at the top of its daily range after hitting a seven-month low earlier in the day, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at the top of their ranges after making eight-month lows earlier. The Semiconductor Index ($SOX.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 3.57%, closed at the top of its range, taking back most of yesterday's losses. The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 1.17%, closed at the top of its range after making an eight-month low.

The top sectors of the day were the Semiconductor Index ($SOX.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 3.57% at 434.43, and the Oil Service Sector Index ($OSX.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 2.91% at 95.97.

Losing sectors of the day were the Gold and Silver Index ($XAU.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 2.86% at 75.58, and the Nasdaq Combined Finance Index ($OFIN.X | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 1.68% at 2183.26.

Software maker Siebel Systems (SEBL), down 14.04% at 15.18, has had its earnings estimates cut by Goldman Sachs based on the belief that the second quarter will be as difficult as the first. The current estimates for the second quarter are 20% less than first quarter's earnings.

Chip maker Motorola (MOT | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 8.37% at 15.66, told Bear Stearns analysts at a technology conference that it expects to meet or slightly beat its second quarter revenue estimates. The company was also positive about its third quarter. Reaffirming their earnings targets at the same conference were: Altera (ALTR | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 0.98% at 16.48, TriQuint (TQNT | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 2.09% at 7.01, Lattice (LSCC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 0.56% at 8.90, and Cyres Semi (CY | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 2.38% at 17.62.  

Also in the chip sector, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 3.64% at 9.67, was upgraded by Prudential to "hold" from "sell" based on valuation.

Broadcasting and cable TV company Univision Communications (UVN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 15.49% at 31.86, has agreed to buy Hispanic Broadcasting (HSP) for $3.5 billion in stock. 

Auto maker General Motors (GM), down 0.96% at 57.43, is the subject of positive comments from JP Morgan who believes the 15% pullback in share price for the past month is a buying opportunity. The company is also believed to top Ford in the Harbour Report 2002, which rates the productivity of the Big Three automakers.

Personal and household product maker Procter & Gamble (PG), up 4.49% at 93.00, announced that it expects fourth quarter earnings to come in the "high teens" compared to previous estimates in the "low teens." The company attributes the increase to improved volume.

Appliance maker Maytag (MYG | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), up 7.02% at 45.27, announced that they expect to beat second quarter expectations due to increased sales, margin improvement, and cost-cutting methods.

Chemical manufacturing company Monsanto (MON), down 4.84% at 25.55, has lowered its guidance for the next two years based on issues in Latin America and planting delays.

Medical equipment and supplies company Therasense (THER), up 2.51% at 20.00, has received FDA approval for its FreeStyle Tracker Diabetes Management System, a glucose monitoring system that integrates with a Handspring Visor PDA.

From TM's proprietary Implosion List, grocery retailer Safeway (SWY | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), down 12.21% at 31.76, fell after it said that second quarter income will come in 5% to 8% below analysts' estimates. Also in the sector, Kroger (KR | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) fell 6.13% at 19.90, and Winn Dixie (WIN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) dropped 3.55% at 17.64.


>> See more articles by Daniel Beighley
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