Wednesday’s Options Alerts…

Stocks shook off earlier losses and rallied after
the Federal Reserve lowered the Fed Funds rate to 2 percent. The Dow
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$INDU |
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, S&P 500
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$SPX |
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, and Nasdaq
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$COMPQ |
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all put in solid performances after what
was the tenth rate cut this year. Today the VIX
(
$VIX.X |
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opened near
the highs of its range and closed near its lows. The VIX dropped soon
after the FED made its announcement. This Intraday shift in sentiment once again
tells us that fear is continuing
to subside, as investors think that the rate cut will help boost the economy. No
CVR signals were triggered today. However we are close to a CVR
II
sell signal. Wait for the RSI of the VIX to uptick before you take
action. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
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PowerRating)
exhibited the same behavior as it too opened
near the high and closed near the lows of today. Again this intraday shift in sentiment
suggests that
fear is continuing to subside. The VXN did not trigger any CVR signals for
today either, though it too is close to triggering a CVR
II
sell signal. Both volatility indices are in oversold territories, which
suggests that the market is overbought. However, markets can become even more
overbought, so please wait for signals to trigger before you take action.

Points of Significance:

Double Click
(
DCLK |
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shot up over 18% higher
after the company announced plans to expand their rich media offerings across its
network of over 1,700 sites. DCLK broke a down trend line and broke above its
20-, 50- day moving averages today on five times its average daily volume. Option’s volume was heavy
as it traded almost triple its average daily contract volume. Hewlett Packard
(
HWP |
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broke
above its 20- and 50-day moving averages today on triple its average daily volume today.
The Hewlett family, who owns a five-percent stake in the company, announced they plan to vote against the merger with Compaq Computer. Options volume
on HWP was heavy as it traded over five times its average number of contracts.
Alliance Gaming
(
ALLY |
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PowerRating)
broke out of a pennant on over double its average
trading volume. Option volume was heavy as it traded over triple its average
daily contract volume. Pharmaceutical Product Development
(
PPDI |
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Chart |
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PowerRating)
continued
to break down from a head and shoulders top today on heavy volume. Implied
volatility has gone to a new high.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 29.85 DOWN 2.09 NONE 8.41 % Under Not At Extreme
VXN 57.31 DOWN 1.65 NONE 4.55 %
Under
Not At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

– Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Double Click DCLK + 18.72 3006 1060
Hewlett-Packard HWP +
17.28
37881 6788
Finisar
Corporation
FNSR +
16.53
1663 707
Alliance
Gaming
ALLY +
12.38
1120 363
F5 Networks FFIV + 10.79 1520 589
Henry
Schein
HSIC +
10.61
577 227

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
– Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Ohio Casualty OCAS 66.6 53.4 72 43.2
Pharmaceutical Product
Development
PPDI 81.8 67.3 80.4 51
Compaq Computer CPQ 73.9 61.9 68.7 45.9
Exxon Mobil XOM 32.7 28 36.2 20.4
Immunomedics, Inc. IMMU 78.4 69.6 89.2 62.7
Compania Anoima VNT 67.7 60.4 76.7 48

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Niagara Mohawk Power NMK 20.8 29.1 36.2 15.8
Host
Marriott Corporation
HMT 56.5 69.3 78.6 30.5
ServiceMaster SVM 26 31 37.7 21.5
Oxford
Health
OHP 46.5 55.3 61.2 36.4
Autonation AN 42.1 49.2 49.6 40
TyCom LTD TCM 35.4 41 94.9 38.6

Please use stops on every trade!