Tuesday’s Options Alerts

Stock fell moderately today as Enron’s bankruptcy,
Argentina’s worsening financial crisis, and more violence in the Middle East put
more uncertainty into the markets. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
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opened near the midpoint of its
range and closed near the low end of its range. This intra-day shift in sentiment
suggests that despite all of the uncertainty, investors are not showing fear. No CVR signals were triggered today.
The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
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opened and closed at almost the same price, towards
the upper half of its range. No CVR signals were triggered by the VXN today.
Both volatility indices did not tell us much today. With both indices in neutral
territory, there is no bias to either side.

Points of Significance:

Liberate Technologies
(
LBRT |
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jumped over 14% today on
three times its average trading volume on speculation that United Pan-Europe
Communications
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UPCOY |
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, will use its software for their set-top boxes. Options
on Liberate traded double their average contract volume. Dynegy
(
DYNT |
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dropped over 10% on almost four times its average trading volume today, as they
were slapped with a lawsuit for pulling out of a merger with Enron
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ENE |
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.
Dynegy did follow with its own counter suit. ESS Technology
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ESST |
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jumped 9% and broke out of a flag on double its average trading volume. Its options volume
was very heavy, as it traded over six times its average today. Energy East
(
EAS |
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had a key reversal day on heavy volume. Its implied volatility is approaching a
new high.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 26 DOWN 0.14 NONE 0.006 % Above Not At Extreme
VXN 49.74 UP 1.29 NONE 0.01 %
Under
Not At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

– Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Liberate
Technologies
LBRT + 14.53 611 256
Calpine CPN
14.19
26962 8012
Medimmune MEDI
11.95
18132 2424
Aviron AVIR +
11.79
1988 445
Dynegy DYN – 10.47 40770 15459
ESS
Technology
ESST +
9.09
723 113

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
– Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Parker Drilling PKD 103.6 76.7 77.9 63
ECI Telecom ECIL 112.5 93.1 108.3 77.1
Calpine CPN 83.2 72 78.9 53.3
Energy East Corporation EAS 32.9 28.5 33.3 25.4
Corvis Corporation CORV 137.8 119.6 121.8 99.8
Pharmacyclics PCYC 150.1 131.2 130.7 71.2

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Reckson Associates Realty RA 26.5 32.9 31.9 21.5
Avion AVIR 56.9 70.2 126.8 69
Optical
Communications
OCPI 89 109.3 120.5 94.4
TV Azteca TZA 47.8 57.1 94.7 49.5
Homestore.com HOMS 114.1 135.7 140.3 64.4
TIVO Inc. TIVO 82.3 94 121.9 82.3

Please use stops on every trade!