Thursday’s Options Alerts

The S&P’s reshuffling and
Merrill’s upgrade
of Cisco Systems
(
CSCO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
did little to spark any buying
interest as the markets sold off for the third consecutive day. The announcement
that Qwest Communications
(
Q |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was under criminal investigation from the U.S. attorney’s
office also added to the selling.

The selling accelerated today, at the close
the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
ended over 282 points lower or 3.10%, the S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

dropped 32.36 points or 3.39%, while the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was the least
hit as it dropped 35 points or 2.54%. Both the Dow and S&P have given back
all of last Wednesday’s and Friday’s rally and then some. Biotech
(
$BTK.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
drugs
(
$DRG.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, utililites
(
$UTY.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and semiconductors took the
worst beatings today. The lone winning sector was gold
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap.

Volatility shot up to an eleven-month high today as investors dumped stocks left and right. The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up, opened
near its lows and closed near the highs of the day. This shift
in intraday sentiment again shows a huge increase in fear. Today’s action
triggered a
CVR 3 buy signal as the VIX is more than 20% above its 10-day moving average.
This is showing a real extreme in fear. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
also gapped up, opened near
its lows and closed near the highs of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment
also shows a huge increase in fear. No CVR signals were triggered by the VXN. With
today’s big increase in fear and our oversold conditions, we could see a bounce
soon.

Points of Significance:

Zoran
(
ZRAN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped over 12% on
more than 10 times average volume.
The shares fell on concerns that its rival ESS Technology cut its prices. The
shares broke down from a pennant formation and could be a possible bear spread
play.

Invision Technologies
(
INVN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped
10% on lower than average volume. The shares found support at its 50-day moving
average and its uptrend line.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 39.02 UP
5.10
CVR
3 BUY
20.54%
Above

At Extreme
VXN 62.12 UP
2.83
NONE 7.77
% Above
Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
ICOS
Corp.
ICOS
13.92
2447 237
Zoran ZRAN
12.67
5042 263
Viacom VIA
11.54
1798 848
Duke
Energy
DUK
10.52
3059 796
Invision
Technologies
INVN
9.92
3059 796
Celestica CLS
9.49
7156 1035

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Pinnacle
West Capital
PNW 36.2 25.6 25.5 14.2
Inco
Ltd.
N 38.5 30.1 33.7 26.2
Cinergy CIN 35.5 28 27.6 16.5
Novartis NVS 32.5 25.8 25.6 18.1
Duke
Energy
DUK 55.5 44.8 46.7 25.3
Pfizer PFE 48.2 39.2 35.2 20.2

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
None

Please use stops on every trade!