Monday’s Options Alerts…

Stocks ended mixed today as the tech-laden Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
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Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

headed lower after JDS Uniphase
(
JDSU |
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News |
PowerRating)
reported a steeper than expected
loss for the quarter. JDS also announced that they expect sales to continue to
slow. The Dow
(
$INDU |
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PowerRating)
and S&P 500
(
$SPX |
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PowerRating)
were up for most of the trading
session and ended the day with modest gains.

Today the VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
once
again opened near the top of its range and closed
near the lows. Again, this intraday shift in sentiment continues to
suggest that fear is
continuing to subside. However, today’s action puts the VIX in more oversold territory,
meaning the market is getting more overbought. Therefore, we are close to
getting a CVR II sell signal. Keep an eye out for the RSI of the VIX to
up-tick
to trigger the signal. In addition, the VIX has continued to move further away
from its 10% below its 10-day moving, as a result, we still have a CVR
III
sell signal.

Likewise the VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

exhibited somewhat similar behavior as it opened in the upper half of its range, but
then closed near the halfway point of today’s range. The VXN has now broken its
5-day trend of opening in the upper half and closing near the lows of the
day. This intraday shift in sentiment suggests that fear is slowly
creeping back up. The RSI of the VXN up-ticked today, giving us a CVR II
sell
signal for today. In addition, the VXN is still at an extreme relative to
its 10-day moving average. Therefore, we also had a CVR
III
sell signal for today.

Points of Significance:

AVANT!
(
AVNT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped out of an ascending
triangle on five times its average daily volume after they announced better-than-expected earnings. Despite reporting better-than-expected earnings,
Versign
(
VRSN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
shed 20% today on five times average daily
volume after they announced plans to sell up to $750 million in stock
which would dilute the stakes of existing shareholders Versign closed just
under its 50% retracement level from its September lows. Digital River
(
DRIV |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

shot up nearly 20% on 10 times average daily volume after they announced
better-than-expected results. Affymetrix
(
AFFX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
rose 15% today on seven
times average daily volume, but closed right under its 50% retracement level
from its June highs. Boeing
(
BA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up on double its average volume today
in anticipation of government orders for fighter jets. Boeing’s implied
volatility is at a new high, which means that its options are becoming expensive.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 30.53 DOWN .83 CVR
III SELL
11.25 % Under At Extreme
VXN 56.91 DOWN .02 CVR
II, III SELL
11.64 %
Under
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

– Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
AVANT! Corp AVNT + 58.26 878 183
Plug
Power
PLUG +
23.50
605 146
Stillwater
Mining
SWC
19.80
1111 319
Versign VRSN
19.72
51742 11781
Digital River DRIV + 19.58 1161 119
Affymetrix AFFX +
15.02
3773 456

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
– Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
ImClone Systems IMCL 71.3 60 108.3 52
AVANT! Corp. AVNT 108.6 95.7 129 63.2
Telefonos de Chile CTC 35.2 31.5 50.4 26.2
Stillwater Mining SWC 59.6 537 69.5 43.1
Suiza Foods SZA 41.1 37.1 45.5 27.1
Boeing BA 59.7 53.9 57.6 27.8

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Cabot Corporation CBT 37 43.4 52 31.5
Kopin KOPN 85.9 99 162.2 69.7
ServiceMaster SVM 29.5 33.9 42.4 21.5
P.F. Chang PFCB 42.2 47.8 72.9 43.3
Ryland Group RYL 52.4 58.9 62.2 39.6
United Rentals URI 51.8 28.2 74.2 45.8

Please use stops on every trade!