Are You Ready To Trade Futures On Microsoft?

For those of you that haven’t heard,
single
stock futures (SSF) are coming and coming FAST! Yesterday, the London
International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (LIFFE) added ten stocks
to its proposed list of SSFs, due to start trading January 29, 2001. The U.S.
stocks due to be part of the first 25 SSFs include:
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T |
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,
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,
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,
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XOM |
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,
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MRK |
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,
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and
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MSFT |
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.

LONDON, Wednesday, 13 December, 2000 – The London International Financial
Futures and Options Exchange (LIFFE) announced an additional 10 Universal
Stock Futures
taking the total number it will launch for trading on 29
January 2001
to 25.*

In response to the LIFFE’s action, the U.S. House and Senate are preparing
to approve SSFs. Their intention is to head off a stampede of investors to the
overseas markets if the U.S. doesn’t respond immediately.**

If you think there’s volatility today in the stock market, wait until you
see the margin calls for SSFs! Remember, futures allow the investors to
participate in market direction at a greatly reduced level of initial
capital. Note the term initial, as that is not the entire liability you assume
when you buy a futures. If the futures moves against you, your broker demands
additional funds, also known as a margin call.

Now in the world of S&P 500 futures, where fellow TradingMarkets.com
commentator Lou Borsellino trades, a 2% or 3% move in the underlying is a
rather large move. Imagine for a moment, the average stock and its daily
movement and how much larger those movements are than a diversified index. For
instance, Applied Materials
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has run from 38 13/16 last
Thursday to 51 Monday and back to 42 in the past week. AMAT has averaged 3
15/16 trading range each day of the past week, which is an 8% move.
Without protective puts or calls against an AMAT futures, the average investor
would have faced multiple margin calls.

I am bringing this to your attention so you can prepare yourselves for the
coming opportunity. Those that are unprepared will find themselves either left
out in the cold, or liquidated at the whim of this very fickle market. Without
plugging my book, How I Trade Options, too hard, I think you
should consider learning how to use options and related strategies to protect
your portfolio and make money with SSFs. You can find my book in the www.tradingmarkets.com
galleria.

**WASHINGTON–Chicago’s futures exchanges are on the brink of a huge
legislative victory that will clear the way for single-stock futures and other
new financial instruments. After 10 hours of negotiations Wednesday between
representatives of the Clinton administration, Congress and the exchanges,
agreement was reached late Wednesday night on a comprehensive futures industry
deregulation bill.

“I’m very happy with it,” said U.S. Rep. Thomas Ewing, R-Pontiac,
noting that the final version of the bill will be introduced Thursday and
attached to an omnibus spending bill that Congress is expected to pass on
Friday. “This will have tremendous impact on keeping us competitive in
the world,” he said.

As chairman of the agriculture subcommittee that oversees the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the Downstate Republican was a principal
sponsor of the bill, which was considered dead when Senate Banking Committee
Chairman Phil Gramm, R-Texas, raised several last-minute objections before
Congress was scheduled to adjourn for last month’s presidential election.

But the Florida election recount extended the lame-duck session of Congress
and provided more time to work out a compromise. Otherwise, “we would probably have not been able to reach an agreement,” Mr. Ewing said.

Besides single-stock futures, the bill clarifies the legal status of swaps and
other derivative financial products traded over-the-counter by banks. A
last-minute sticking point concerned regulation of equity swaps by the
Securities and Exchange Commission. The bill provides greater certainty that
most swaps will not be regulated by either agency, except in certain
circumstances.

The bill creates a tiered system of regulation, allowing exchanges the freedom
to offer relatively unregulated products to the most sophisticated players in
the market.

“The most important thing for the industry is that it will guide the
development of the business and the futures of innovation,” said Mark
Young, a partner in the Washington, D.C., office of Kirkland & Ellis who
serves as outside counsel for the Chicago Board of Trade. “It gives you a
road map to innovate.”

Despite the last-minute hurdles, there was intense pressure to complete action
on the bill this year. Several overseas exchanges plan to start trading
single-stock futures early next year, which would have put U.S. exchanges at a
disadvantage if they couldn’t compete. Also, Mr. Ewing is retiring this year,
and his likely successor as subcommittee chairman, Rep. Nick Smith, a Michigan
dairy farmer, was one of only four votes against the bill when it passed the
House with 377 votes in October. *

*Merrion, Paul, “Futures Dereg in Sight,” Crain’s
Chicago Business,
14 December, 2000.