May Silver, Potential To Implode
Each evening we focus on the most interesting aspects for the upcoming trading day. The comments are based on observations of the nightly updates of the Futures and Market Bias pages. They are provided for educational purposes only and are not intended to be direct trading advice. Also, keep in mind that these remarks are made up to 12 hours in advance of the markets opening. Therefore, overnight events may alter the outcome of these observations.
At the time this is being published, the S&P Globex Futures are 1.70 points lower and the Bond Market Futures is down 4 ticks.
Last night, I pointed out that May Silver [SIK9>SIK9] was on all three Volatility Explosion Lists and had the potential to implode as it had made a “head fake†up. Today, it dropped 11 cents as volatility reverted back to its mean. These are the types of moves that are possible coming out of low volatility situations.
The energies, May Crude [CLK9>CLK9], May Unleaded Gas [HUK9>HUK9] and May Heating Oil [HOK9>HOK9] all broke out to new 50 day highs (see Futures 10-,20- & 50-Day High Levels List) to keep their spot on the Momentum 5 List. For those of you who are not long, you may want to wait for the next pullback before attempting to enter.
For you breakout players, May Natural Gas [NGK9>NGK9] is now at a critical juncture. Notice that today it hit its 10, 20 and 50 Day Highs (see Futures 10-,20- & 50- Day High Levels List) and closed just shy of its high for the day. Watch the market to see if it can break through this level and longer term resistance around 2.000 to play catch up with the oils. Use caution however, as the floor traders will be looking to capitalize on any false breakouts.
May Natural Gas
Source: Omega Research.
Volatility Watch
The June Swiss Franc [SFM9>SFM9] is on both the Volatility Explosions-Low 6/100 Readings List and Low 10/100 Readings List and the June Dmark [DMM9>DMM9] is on the Low 6/100 Readings List. Begin watching the currencies for a large move (in either direction) as volatility reverts back to its mean, especially with the Dollar [DXM9>DXM9], an inverse currency, being on the Low 6/100 Readings List.
Best of luck with your trading on Wednesday!
Dave Landry
Director of Research
TradingMarkets.com