Trading Markets

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The Tail That Wags The Dog

In early June 2002, Tony Crescenzi chatted with Eddie Kwong about the current state of the markets and the economy. The theme that came out of the conversation will be thought-provoking for all stock traders. That is that the bond market is a powerful leading indicator for the stock market that is a

T-Bond Sentiment Gauges That Foreshadow Moves In Stocks And Bonds

On Wall Street, one of the best ways to forecast market direction is to assess the bullishness or bearishness of the crowd. As the theory goes, if everyone is bullish, the market is likely to fall. Conversely, if everyone is bearish, the market is likely torise. Market history is strewn with periods

The Bond Market: The Tail That Wags The Dog

In early June 2002, Tony Crescenzi chatted with Eddie Kwong about the current state of the markets and the economy. The theme that came out of the conversation will be thought-provoking for all stock traders. That is that the bond market is a powerful leading indicator for the stock market that is a

Trading Greenspan, Part II

Inmy first lesson, GÇ£TradingGreenspan, Part I, I described the best way to tradeGreenspan during the two months when he delivers his Humphrey-Hawkins testimony. But what about the other ten months? The first step is to recognize that when Greenspan delivers a policyspeech, the impact can span

Trading Greenspan, Part I

FederalReserve Chairman Alan Greenspan is perceived as an enigma, a man whose messageis cloaked behind a wall of obtuse language. The markets spend an inordinate amount of time trying to break down thatwall, hoping they might at last find the Holy Grail on Greenspanisms. But for most, understanding

Trading Greenspan, Part I

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan is perceived as an enigma, a man whose message is cloaked behind a wall of obtuse language

Trading Greenspan, Part II

In my first lesson, I described the best way to trade Greenspan during the two months when he delivers his Humphrey-Hawkins testimony.-áBut what about the other ten months?-á

T-Bond Sentiment Gauges That Foreshadow Moves In Stocks And Bonds

On Wall Street, one of the best ways to forecast market direction is to assess the bullishness or bearishness of the crowd. As the theory goes, if everyone is bullish, the market is likely to fall. Conversely, if everyone is bearish, the market is likely to
rise. Market history is strewn with periods where this time-tested theory has proven
true.