In my book Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work, we created a small firestorm with a chapter that was titled “Stops Hurt”. The chapter showed statistically that stops on pullbacks hurt performance (since publishing this test in the book many others have replicated it). Even stops placed 50% away (which few would even consider a stop)… [Read More]
Short Term Trading
Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 2): How To Increase The Sharpe Ratio of Your Portfolio
In this issue of The Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 2), we’ll delve into the insights of Peter Muller, who built PDT (Process Driven Trading), one of the greatest proprietary trading firms in the world for Morgan Stanley. Peter and his team then moved from Morgan Stanley to their own $5+ billion quant hedge fund. Reportedly, Peter… [Read More]
Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 1): Does Mean Reversion Still Work?
Today, we’ll look at whether or not mean reversion trading still works (it does). You’ll learn The RSI 25 Strategy which has correctly predicted the short-term direction of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) over 91% of the time since 1993. You’ll also gain further insights which you can apply to your personal trading. For much… [Read More]
Yes, I’d Like to Attend the Free Webinar on Volatility Trading with Larry Connors on March 30, 2018
In response to the potential change in the market environment, I will be be holding a free trading strategy and research webinar on Friday, March 30 at 11 am ET. The webinar will run approximately one hour and we will be covering the following topics for you to learn from: 1. VIX and Volatility… [Read More]
Trader Discipline and Risk Management
The SPX hit 2401 on 3/1/17 following the election/year end markup followed by a 3-month trading range of just 3.4%. It was pushed above 2400 and hit 2446 Fri before closing at 2432. The market remains in a prolonged period of passive “so called” investing, and extreme all-time lows in volatility, yet the Fed Ponzi… [Read More]
Geometric Market Timing is the Significant Factor
The SPX made a long term RST top of 2135 in May 2015 at the 1.618 Fib Extension [2137] of the 1576-667 bear market low before declining -12.5% into the Pi Time zone of 2015.75, followed by a rally to 2116, then the final double bottom low at 1810 on 2/11/16. The index has since… [Read More]
Yellen on Hold for Clinton
The SPX is virtually unchanged at 2139 after 17 months of trading following the long-term monthly RST 2135 high on 5/15/15, with the major 5 RSI monthly negative divergence. I said that the risk reward was not positive then, and to significantly cut back long exposure on any buy and hold SPX index portfolios. I… [Read More]
Turmoil in Long Term Symmetry Time Period
The long-term monthly RST signal was triggered in June 2015 following the all time 2135 SPX high in May 2015, and buy and hold index fund investors have made nothing since then which followed my suggestion to significantly reduce equity holdings unless you planned to trade the monthly O/S conditions “if and when”. The index… [Read More]
Risk Reward Remains Negative for Longer Term Equity Exposure
***3/16/16: Due to a technical issue, a previous post was published by mistake. The correct text is now available below.*** The SPX remains in a bear market condition with the 20DEMA,<50DEMA <200DEMA [BTL]which was triggered by the long term RST sell signal following the 2135 5/15 high, and the monthly close below the May low… [Read More]
Long Term Bear Market Condition and Short Term O/S
The SPX finished 2015 at -0.7% and the major RST sell signal was triggered in June with a monthly close below the low of the high month which was May 2015, with the SPX cycle high of 2134.72 The details of the long term Pi cycle symmetry has been discussed with detail in previous commentaries… [Read More]