Here’s Where The Internal Strength Is…

Price action for the major indexes drifted higher for most
of the day, but fell to selling pressure in the closing hour. The biggest
advances were in airlines, pharmaceuticals, retail, healthcare, and
biotechnology. The biggest decliners were gold and silver, oil service, and
Internet.

Closing below its 50-day moving average, the Gold and
Silver Index

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, down 4.54%, carried over Friday’s momentum as
it continues to pull back from an impressive uptrend. With Gold Futures
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, up 0.20 at 319.70, the sector still has internal strength and may
be poised for a reversal in this zone. This sector is used by many as a
defensive instrument from a weakening dollar, which is the focus of Tony
Crescenzi’s
newest article.

The
Dow Jones Industrial Average

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closed up 0.58% at 9645.40. The
S&P 500

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closed up 0.31% at 1030.74. The Nasdaq
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closed
down 0.31% at
1530.69.

U.S. Treasury Bonds were
up 14 at 102 ’12.

There was no economic data released today. On Wednesday,
the Fed’s "beige book" data will come out.

Market breadth was mixed,
with NYSE advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of 1.05, and up
volume
over down
volume
by a 1.04 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in at 1.20,
and down
volume
beat up
volume
by a 1.57 ratio.
The
VIX
was down 0.50 at 26.15. The TRIN
was
down 0.42 at 0.81.

Average volume on the NYSE
and below-average volume on the Nasdaq
had the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq
closing on the lower end of their daily ranges. The Semiconductor
Index

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, down 0.81%, closed at the bottom of its range. The Broker/Dealer
Index

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, down 0.04%, closed in a "doji" formation.

The top sectors of the
day were the
Airline Index
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, up 2.56% at
78.35, and the Pharmaceuticals Index
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, up 1.84% at 322.80.

Losing
sectors
of the day were the Gold and Silver Index
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,
down 4.54% at 75.17, and the Oil Service Sector Index
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,
down 3.00% at 96.54.

Chip maker Intel Corp.
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, down 4.22% at 21.07, failed to
close positive after being upgraded by First Albany to "strong buy"
from "buy" on the belief that the company was overly conservative in
its earnings outlook. 

Energy trader Williams Companies (WMB),
down 1.26% at 8.59, has reduced its 2002 earnings forecast to $1.35 – $1.70 a
share from $2.15 – $2.30 a share. The company said it intends to cut back on its
energy risk management services.

Software maker SilverStream Software
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,
up 73.15% at 8.90, rallied after it was announced that it will be bought by Novell
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, up 3.38% at 3.36, for about $212 million.

Medical equipment and
supplies company Baxter International (BAX),
up 1.98% at 51.40, has agreed to buy the majority of Wyeth (WYE),
up 2.09% at 54.13, for $305 million. The deal will not affect Baxter’s
earnings for 2003, though will add revenue for 2004.

Scientific and technical instrument company
Danaher Corp. (DHR)
,
down 4.45% at 66.46, was cited in Barron’s as being potentially
overvalued in comparison to its competitors in relation to P/E levels. Company
insiders have also sold shares in the past 15 months.

Biotechnology and drug company De Code
Genetics Inc. (DCGN)
,
up 1.07% at 3.76, is scheduled to release

on
Monday the
clearest picture to date of the human genome. This will give scientists a better
edge in developing medicines.

Gold mining company Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM),
down 2.09% at 28.10, said it will reach its debt-reduction target twice as fast
as initially anticipated due to an increase in gold prices.

Investment services company Instinet
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, up 0.70% at 7.10,
has agreed to acquire its rival Island ECN in a deal worth $508 million.
Instinet is 83% owned by Reuters
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, down 1.87% at 38.81, who
will now own 62% of the new company.

Networking stocks Juniper Networks
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, down 2.59% at 7.87,
and Tellabs
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, down 1.26% at 8.57, had their earnings estimates
for 2002 and 2003 lowered by UBS Warburg based on a soft market from traditional
customers.

Wireless stocks Nokia
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, down 2.43% at 12.00, and Ericsson
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, down 2.94% at 1.98, weren’t helped much by JP Morgan, who
upgraded the stocks to "market perform" from "market
underperform" with the belief that the stock prices already have low growth
factored into them.

The financial sector came under pressure from negative comments by UBS
Warburg who lowered earnings estimates for Citigroup
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, up 1.70% at
41.70, JP Morgan
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, up 0.56% at 33.88, Bank of New York
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, up 0.13% at 34.01, and State Street
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, up 0.75% at
45.12, based on uncertainty in the capital markets.