Here’s Why Retail Is In Focus

Stocks
are taking a breather today
after yesterday’s strong showing. First
Call is reporting that 3Q pre-announcements for earnings are coming in less
negative than the same period a year ago. With 747 companies providing estimates
through Sept. 5, 30% are stating they will surpass expectations, 18% are on
target and 52% warned earnings could miss forecasts. This compares to the same
period last year when the respective estimates were 25%, 22% and 53%. With the
pre-announcements picture improving from last year, First Call says profits for
3Q could rise as much as 19%, compared to analysts’ projections of a 14.7% rise.

Retail is weaker after Goldman
Sachs lowered its view on several stocks. Opinions on Dow component Home
Depot

(
HD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, Federated
(
FD |
Quote |
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PowerRating)
, and May Dept. Stores
(
MAY |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

were all lowered. One retailer, Nordstrom
(
JWN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, was given the thumbs
up by Goldman. Merrill Lynch disagrees, saying the retail group should continue
to be strong. Gold is strong, with the December contract trading up to $384. The
dollar is making a three week low against the euro.

Wachovia upped its rating on JDS Uniphase
(
JDSU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
to outperform from market perform. Research In Motion
(
RIMM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

has gained 23% on the heels of better-than-expected 2Q earnings yesterday.
Xilinx

(
XLNX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was boosted by JP Morgan, to overweight from neutral.
Sun Microsystems

(
SUNW |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
slid on the news that co-founder Bill Joy
is leaving the company after 21 years.

Today’s Market
Indices:

The Dow Jones Industrial
Average

(
$INDU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, 9560.39 -25.90

The S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
1027.41 -4.27

The Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
1884.22 -4.40

NYSE Advancing
Issues 1,299

NYSE Declining
Issues 1801

NYSE Trading
Volume 713 mln

NASDAQ Advancing
Issues 1,380

NASDAQ Declining
Issues 1,646

NASDAQ Trading
Volume 1255 mln

Today’s Leading
Sectors:

Golf and Silver Sector
Index

(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, +2.35%

Computer Hardware Index

(
$HWI.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, +1.78%

CBOE Internet Index
(
$INX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
+1.68%

Securities Broker Dealer
Index

(
$XBD.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, +.60%

Computer Boxmaker Index
(
$BMX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
+.53%.

Today’s Weak
Sectors:

S&P Retail Index
(
$RLX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
-2.44%

Airline Index
(
$XAL.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
-2.37%

Oil Service Sector Index

(
$OSX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, -1.83%

Economic News:

Economic news is light on the
calendar today. At 10 a.m. EDT, wholesale inventories for July will be reported.
According to a survey by Bloomberg, inventories are expected to rise 0.1%.

Key Futures:

The 10-year U.S. Note:
-100 at 110 155

The dollar: -0.99 at
96.33

Gold: +7.2 at 383.4

Crude Oil +.22 at
29.07

Dow Stocks:

AT&T
(
T |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
-1.16% at 22.11

Merck
(
MRK |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, +.76% at 5.01

Intel
(
INTC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, -.68% at
28.99

Citigroup
(
C |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, -42% at 44.35

Microsoft
(
MSFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, -1.21% at
28.48

If you have any comments or
questions, please feel free to email me.


Vincent Mao

vincentm@tradingmarkets.com