How Saudi Arabia Made Oil Prices Fall Today

Equities were a touch
higher
while the Treasuries were mixed as the yield curve continued to flatten.
Economic data was mixed today and so were company announcements.

Equities

Today’s economic data was mixed with better-than-expected results coming out of the Empire Manufacturing Survey and Jobless
Claims, but anemic figures for the Philly Fed Survey. The Nasdaq futures
contract
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was up by 13.50 to close at 1164.50. The S&P 500 contract
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was
up by 6.20 to finish at 946.50,
and the Dow
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was up by 47 to
finish at 8695.

Fixed Income

The yield curve continued to flatten today as
investors are going further out on the curve (buying longer-dated Treasuries) to
lock in higher rates since these investors believe that rates will continue to
fall. The 10-year futures contract
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was down 045 to close at 117-135; the 30-year
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was up 01 at 118-13; and the five-year note was down 060 at 115-055
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.

Metals

Gold continued higher today despite a stronger
dollar, and the futures contract was up .30 to close at 352.8
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, but
silver
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was down 9.20 to close at 4.78. Base metals were
slightly higher today. Copper was unchanged to close at 76.10
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and
aluminum
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was up .0025 to .6560.

Energy

Crude oil prices finished lower after Saudi
Arabia, the world’s largest oil producer and OPEC’s most important member,
pumped 6.7% more oil in April than earlier estimated. June crude was down .43 to
close at 28.74
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. Natural gas traded was also lower, by .183, to
close at 6.1310
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.

Currencies

The dollar was stronger today, especially against
the euro, as the market is now expecting the ECB to lower rates in order to spur
economic growth. The USD index
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was up .68 and
finished at 95.41.