Monday’s Great Opportunity On The Downside

At the beginning of trade,
the S&P
500 futures futures on the Globex pointed to a positive open. The Dec. S&P
500 futures

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were positive most of the early part of the session,
then pulled back. Another rally to the upside had traders covering their
shorts. After a little chop, a head-and-shoulders pattern formed with a
neckline at 897. The break below 897 was a great opportunity for shorts to make
some money on the downside. The SPZ2 ended at 891.79 down 6.20.

Dec. Nasdaq 100
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, closed at 987 down 6.50.

US Treasuries rose,
sending the two-year note yield to a two-week low, on speculation the Federal
Reserve will lower interest rates as soon as next week to bolster the economy.
The FOMC meeting is next Tuesday. The Dec. 10-year note
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climbed .23 to 113.37 and the Dec. 30 year bond
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closed
unchanged at 109.00.

In the energies,
crude oil rose as President
Bush resumed calls for a UN resolution that would threaten Iraq with military
action if
unobstructed weapons inspections are not allowed. Crude oil for December delivery
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rose 24 cents, or 0.9%, to $27.29 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Oil has climbed 38% this year, partly on concern an
attack on Iraq would disrupt supply.


Dec.
heating oil

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climbed up .74 of a cent or 1.01% to 74.25 a
gallon. Nov. unleaded gasoline
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rose .71 of a cent to 76.70 a
gallon and Nov. natural gas
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ended at 4.33 up .14 or 3.51%.
NGZ2 is beginning to rally from a pullback from the high.

At the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) some of the
grains and beans declined from their recent gains with soybeans being the
biggest loser on the day. Nov. soybeans
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lost 11 cents or 1.97%
to end at $5.46 a bushel. This is just above the 20-day moving average of 5.42.
Dec wheat
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rose 5.50 cents or 1.34% to $4.16 a bushel. Dec.
corn

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lost 1.50 cents of a cent to end at $2.47 1/4 a bushel.

In the precious metals,
both silver and gold rallied higher today. Dec. gold
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broke
above above the 315 resistance level to close at $315.69 a troy ounce, an
increase of 1.80. Dec. silver
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climbed .30 of a cent to 4.41.
The 4.41 level is now its support. Dec copper
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was
actually trading above the .72 level today, but it pulled back and closed lower
at 71.34 a pound, down .10.