One Sector That Should Be Watched Closely

The major indexes chopped their
way down for most of the day before an afternoon rally lifted them into the
green. Leading to the upside were oil service, utilities, and telecoms, with
airlines, Internet, and software deepest in the red.

So far, the strongest sector of
the week has been the Gold and Silver Index
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which closed
down 0.03% for the day. Price action on the daily bar closed in potential
short-term trend-changing “doji.” Calling tops and bottoms can very
often be a loser’s game, though this sector is considered defensive and should
be watched closely. From the index, Newmont Mining
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, down 0.38% at 30.69, Placer Dome
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, up 2.28% at 13.88, and Barrick Gold
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, down 0.21% at 22.68.

The
Dow Jones Industrial Average

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closed up 0.51% at 10157.88. The
S&P 500

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closed up 0.55% at 1085.89. The Nasdaq
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closed up 0.50% at 1672.66.

U.S. Treasury Bonds were
up 18 at 101 ’26.

Fear of terrorism continued to
make headlines, with specific targets of the Brooklyn Bridge and The Statue of
Liberty being cited by the FBI.

Market breadth was mixed,
with NYSE advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of 1.04, and up
volume
over down
volume
by a 1.06 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in at 1.29,
and up
volume
beat down
volume
by a 1.27 ratio.
The
VIX
was down 0.93 at 21.63. The TRIN
was
up 0.32 at 0.97.

Below-average volume
had all three major indexes closing above their 20-day moving averages. The
Semiconductor Index

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, down 0.04%, closed below its 20-day MA.
The Broker/Dealer Index [
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, down 1.03%, bounced off its
20-day moving average and closed above it.

The top sectors of the
day were the Oil Service Sector

Index

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, up
2.70% at 106.16, and the Dow Jones Utilities Index
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, up
2.55% at 297.38.

Losing
sectors
of the day were the Airline

Index

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,
down 1.62%
at 79.35,

and the TheStreet.com Internet Index
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, down 1.56% at
125.59.

Goldman Sachs did a number on the software sector as it cut its estimates on
the following companies: Ariba (ARBA),
down 0.64%, Business OBJ (BOBJ),
down 5.49%, Documentum (DCTM),
down 3.34%, FreeMarkets (FMKT),
down 6.01%, HNC Software (HNCS),
down 0.50%, Hyperion Solutions (HYSL),
down 0.38% at 20.73, Informatica (INFA),
down 2.53% at 8.96, i2 Technologies (ITWO),
unch at 3.41, PeopleSoft (PSFT),
up 0.49% at 20.14, SAP Aktiengesell (SAP),
down 6.56% at 26.06, Siebel Systems (SEBL),
down 4.67% at 20.00, CheckPoint Software (CHKP),
down 7.62% at 17.32, Internet Security Systems (ISSX),
down 6.96% at 16.97, Quest Software (QSFT),
up 3.51% at 14.45, Rational Software (RATL),
down 7.01% at 11.93, Symantec Corp. (SYMC),
down 7.96% at 33.51, Verisign (VRSN),
up 0.90% at 10.06, and WebMethods (WEBM),
down 5.00% at 11.40.

Contrary to Goldman Sachs’ guidance, PeopleSoft
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, up 0.49%
at 20.14, was upgraded by CSFB to “buy” from “hold.”

Software company Oracle (ORCL),
down 0.56% at 8.80, has had its estimates cut by Bank of America Securities
based on poor fundamentals caused by weak IT spending, competition, and less-than-perfect
execution.

Mobile phone king Nokia (NOK),
down 3.24% at 14.90, is reported by the Wall Street Journal to be under
pressure as phones become more like computers. The company is at risk of
becoming a “slave” to Microsoft (MSFT),
up 2.83% at 53.67, which develops software for the phones. Nokia has also
announced that it will be buying a 10% stake in Redback Networks
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, up 18.50% at 2.69.

Computer maker Dell Computer
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, up 0.44% at 27.00, had its
“strong buy” rating reiterated by Merrill Lynch who claims the company
possesses “superior long-term prospects.”

Food retailer Albertson’s
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, up 5.94% at 34.06, gave its
sector a boost as it raised its fiscal first quarter earnings estimate, citing
its restructuring program as being more effective than previously anticipated.
Also in the sector, Kroger
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, up 2.72% at 22.58, and Winn-Dixie
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, up 2.74% at 19.11.

Communications services company Worldcom
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, up 16.19% at
1.65, announced that it will eliminate its tracking stock for its consumer
long-distance division MCI Group
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, up 37.56% at 2.82, as it
drains $284 million a year from the company.

Clothing retailer Gap Inc.
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, down 15.31% at 13.55, fell after
it was reported that its CEO, Millard Drexler, announced his plans to retire.

Home improvement retailer Home Depot
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, down 1.44% at 44.25,
fell after Jeffries downgraded the stock to “hold” from
“accumulate.”

Auto maker Ford Motor
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, up 3.46% at 18.19, received its
second upgrade in as many days as Bank of America bumped it to “buy”
from “market performer.”

From TM’s proprietary Momentum
List
, Golden State Bancorp
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,
up 7.78% at 39.34, is to be bought by Citigroup
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, in a cash-and-stock
deal worth $5.8 billion.