The Market’s Economic Crystal Ball

Stocks opened off Wednesday morning
then promptly rallied with strong industry participation across the board.
Before the open, the government reported weaker-than-expected inflation.

The market ignored an earnings
disappointment from Applied Materials and rewarded a broad segment of sectors.
All these are signs that the market is discounting a strong economy in the future.

The Dow Jones Industrials gained 3.2%,
the Nasdaq Composite 3.9%. In a further show of breadth, the vast majority of
the top-volume Nasdaq stocks also ended the day in the plus column, and 29 of
the Dow 30 ended in the black. 

Among the leading sectors, the Amex
Biotechnology Index
(
$BTK.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
rose 6.9%. Human Genome Sciences
(
HGSI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

gained 8.1%, IEC Pharmaceuticals
(
IDPH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
6.8%, Invitrogen
(
IVGN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
2.5%,
Amgen
(
AMGN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
7.3%.

The day’s price action shows how price
can look beyond current fundamentals. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

rose 6.5%. Applied Materials
(
AMAT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, the world’s largest chipmaker, rose
4.2% despite missing estimates by a penny. Interestingly, the Gold and Silver
Index
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
rose 5.6% despite lower-than-expected inflation. 

The only major sector index to part
ways significantly was the Amex Airline Index
(
$XAL.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, which gave up 1.09%.
Other top-performing sectors range the gamut from the Amex Internet Index
(
IIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

5.2%, the Philadelphia Forest & Paper Products Index
(
$FPP.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
4.2%
and the S&P Chemical Index
(
$CEX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
4.5%. The latter two broke above
resistance.

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts
(
KREM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

14.2%. Before the open, the company reported quarterly earnings of 20 cents per share
compared to 14 cents a year ago. FuelCell Energy
(
FCEL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
10.2%.

U.S. homebuilder stocks fell after
Salomon Smith Barney downgrades. Decliners included Schuler Homes
(
SHLR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
Beazer Homes USA
(
BZH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and Ryland Group
(
RYL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
.