Treasuries Pointing To Weakness In Economy?

The questionable economy is creating a choppy
yet tradable market for traders. Both the Sept. S&P 500
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and the Sept. Nasdaq 100
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futures fell to key support levels
today, but were able to hold above those levels despite closing negative. SPU2
closed at 883.20, down 5.90. Earlier in the session, the Sept. S&Ps tested the
50% retracement (867.80) drawn from the July and August rally. The Sept. Nasdaq 100
felt heat from the ailing Semiconductor sector
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and fell
back down to 893, losing 22, or 2.40%.

Treasuries continues their climb again in
anticipation that the Fed will move to cut rates before the end of the year
because of a still somewhat shaky economy. Tomorrow the very important
Employment figures ( Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Hourly Earnings, and
Average Workweek) will be released prior to the market open. The Dec. 10-year
note

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hit a 20-day high at 113.62, up .34. The Dec. 30-year
bond

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also climbed into 20-day high territory, closing up .43 at
112.15. Both treasuries have set up for a possible Turtle Soup Sell Setup.

After pulling back from the recent high,
October crude oil

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fell back to test its 50% retracement (27.73).
This was drawn from the recent July and Aug. rally of this year. Crude oil
rallied again today attempting to break the resistance at 29.00 before pulling
back to close at $28.98 a barrel, up .71, or 2.51%. Oct unleaded gasoline
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rose 1.42 cents to 77.65 a gallon, a 1.88% increase. Oct heating
oil

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rallied strong to break above its resistance level of 76
before finally closing at 77.25, up 2.22 cents, or 2.96%, and Oct natural gas
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rallied from a pullback from the high and closed above the 3.30
resistance level at 3.33, up .14, a 4.60% increase.

At the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), grains and
beans rallied stronger once again. Wheat was a winner once again with an
increase that made it hit the five-year high levels. The reason for the big move in
wheat is because the US, which is the world’s largest exporter, has been
hampered by drought. Other big exporters of wheat, Canada and Australia, have
also suffered crop losses and this has lead to a tightening of world supplies. In
addition, rainy weather in the growing regions has some traders fearing damage to
the US spring wheat fields. December wheat
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rose 1.68%, closing
at $3.92 3/4 a bushel, an increase of 6.50 cents. December corn
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rallied to $2.80 3/4 a bushel, up 3.25 cents, and Nov. soybeans
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added 4.25 cents to $5.56 a bushel.

One of the strongest sectors in the equities
today was gold
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. This was due to the strong move in December
gold

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. Dec gold broke out above the 318.00 resistance level of a
symmetrical triangle to rise 3.39, or 1.07% to close at $319.89 a troy ounce. The
next resistance level is at 321.00. December silver
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followed
gold’s lead rallying above the 4.56 resistance level and then pulling back to
close at $.545 an ounce, a gain of 5 cents, or 1.11%. December copper
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fell to a 20-day low closing at 67.65 a pound, down .55. This sets
copper up for a possible Turtle Soup Plus One Buy setup.