Two Reasons Why We Could Rally Tomorrow

Buyers
embraced the markets today, as stocks posted healthy gains
to kick
off the last full trading week of the year. With the 50-day simple moving
averages as support, low volume moved the major averages to take out Friday’s
highs, and price action held a strong uptrend from bell to bell. The 50-day
moving averages are key to institutions, and may give cause for the buying to
carry over tomorrow, as well as an anticipated “Santa Claus Rally.” Technology
issues were best bid on the session, with broker/dealers and retail confirming
the move with nice gains.

Dow Jones Industrial Average
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closed +2.29% at 8,627.40. The S&P 500
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closed +2.35% at 910.12. The Nasdaq
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closed +2.78% at
1,400.33.

Topping the gainers list today
were: semiconductors
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, +5.29%, telecom
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IXTC.X |
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,
+4.71%, software
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, +4.16%, and chemicals
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,
+3.93%. broker/dealers
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, +3.13%, retail
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,
+2.54%.

There were no losing sectors
today. 

The 10-year U.S. Note
was -160 at 112 065.

The Dollar was +0.04 at
104.50.

Volume was well below
average
, with the NYSE coming in at 1,208,690,000 and the Nasdaq at
1,392,026,000.

Market breadth was positive,
with NYSE advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of 2.37, and up
volume over down volume by a 5.35 ratio. Nasdaq advancing issues over declining
issues came in at 1.65, and up volume beat down volume by a 3.02 ratio.

The

VIX
was -2.14 at 29.98. The

TRIN
was -0.92 at 0.44.

Leading the Dow higher: SCB Communications,
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,
+5.35% at 27.13, JP Morgan
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, +4.99% at 24.80, Alcoa
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AA |
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,
+4.86% at 24.15, Du Pont
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DD |
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, +4.15% at 44.33, Citigroup
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C |
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,
+4.11% at 37.48, and Microsoft Corp.
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, +3.80% at 54.50.

Stocks in
the news:

Chip giant Intel
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, +3.64% at 18.22, and
computer box maker Dell Computer
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DELL |
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, +3.30% at 27.15, shrugged
off negative comments in a Barron’s article which cited a hedge fund
manager who listed the stocks as good short sale candidates.

Computer hardware maker
Hewlett Packard

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, +1.99% at 18.95, has been added to Merrill
Lynch’s Focus One List.

In the retail sector, these two
stocks don’t seem to care much about negative news, as Target
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,
+2.68% at 31.80, was the subject of a negative Barron’s article over the
weekend which claims the company’s credit card business is likely to face rising
defaults and hurt earnings. Also, Wal-Mart
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, +2.77% at 51.94,
announced that it expects same store sales to rise 3% to 5% for the month of
December, as sales track at the low end of expectations. The company also said
it filed to sell $10 billion in debt securities.

Elsewhere in the retail sector, Federated Department
Stores

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FD |
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, +2.05% at 29.32, JC Penney
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, +4.87% at
24.75, May Department Stores
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, +1.03% at 23.50, and The
Limited

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LTD |
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, +2.95% at 15.00.

Communications services company Bell South
Communications

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, +4.72% at 27.25, announced that is awaiting
approval from federal regulators for its plan to sell long distance service in
Florida and Tennessee.

Software company Internet
Security Systems

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, -4.70% at 21.25, was downgraded by SG Cowen to
“underperform” from “market perform”.

Security systems company
Invision

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, +19.32% at 27.41, raised its fourth-quarter earnings
estimated to $1.60 per share vs. the Multex consensus of $1.38-$1.39 per share.

In the pharmaceutical biz,
Glaxo-SmithKline

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, +2.85% at 37.80, announced that the U.S. Food
and Drug Administration has approved the use of Pediarix, a drug given to
infants for the prevention of diphtheria, tetanus, polio, hepatitis B, and
pertussis.

Navigations equipment maker
Garmin Ltd.

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, +17.34% at 28.42, raised its fourth-quarter
earnings expectations.Â