Where The Money’s Headed

The
major indexes put in a reversal to the downside
in the first hour of
trading before trending up to the intraday highs around 12:30 pm ET, then down
to new lows for losses into the close. Internet stocks were the big gainers,
with airline, telecoms, healthcare, and gold and silver putting in modest
advances. Semiconductors, broker/dealers, and computer hardware stocks made the
biggest losses.

As Kevin
Haggerty
has been drilling in his column, we should look to the semis for
overall market direction. Today was a clear sign of money coming out of this
sector as the Semiconductor Index
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
dropped 3.77% and moved below its 200-day MA. Leading the exodus on above
average volume were Micron Technology
(
MU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
down 7.11% at 27.30, and KLA-Tencor
(
KLAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
down 4.58% at 60.31, and on double volume, Applied
Materials

(
AMAT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 3.62% at 24.96.

The
Dow Jones Industrial Average
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed down 0.58% at 10030.43.
The S&P 500
(
$SPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed down 0.71% at 1093.13. The Nasdaq
[$COMPQ |$COMPQ] closed
down 0.98% at
1713.30.

U.S. Treasury Bonds were
up 26 at 101’24.

Despite positive news from the
Internet sector, price action reflected disappointing economic data. Durable
goods orders
dropped 0.6% in March, for its first decline in four months.
Economists surveyed by Thompson Global Markets were looking for a 0.5% increase.
New home sales for March fell 3.1% to 878,000, where economists were
looking for 884,000. And lastly, the Fed’s Beige Book showed improvement
across the sectors, with inflation in check.

Market breadth was negative,
with NYSE declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 1.1
0,
and down volume over up volume by a 1.
47

ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in at 1.
22
,
and down volume beat up volume by a
1.52

ratio.
The
VIX
was up 0.54 at 22.67. The TRIN
was up 0.16 at 1.33.

Above average volume kept the
three major averages below their 50-day MA’s and closing at the bottom of their
ranges. The Broker/Dealer Index
(
$XBD.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 3.35%, also
moved below its 200-day MA.

Top
advancing sectors of the day were the 
CBOE
Internt Index

(
$INX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
 up 2.45% at
97.09,

and the Airline
Index
(
$XAL.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up 1.87% at 97.24.

Losing
sectors of the day were the Disk Drive Index
(
$DDX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 4.28%
at 99.38, and the Semiconductor Index
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 3.77% at
534.26.

Online retailer Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN),
up 19.41% at 16.79, reported a first quarter loss of 1 cent a share, excluding
certain costs. Analysts were looking for a loss of 9 cents a share.

Online travel agent Expedia
(
EXPE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 13.86% at 80.56, said that
it expects to beat its 2002 earnings expectations by 22%. Internet stocks also
up today were Yahoo!
(
YHOO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 3.10% at 14.61, and America
Online Time Warner

(
AOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 0.99 at 19.30.

Drug maker GlaxoSmithKline
(
GSK |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up
2.59% at 48.32, said it earned $1.5 billion for the first-quarter for a 49
%
rise. The drug maker cited sales of its asthma treatment Advair and cost
cutting
measures for the increase. Also in the drug
making
business, Dow component Johnson and Johnson
(
JNJ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
rose
1.26
to 63.61.

Airline stocks benefited from upgrades by Merrill Lynch, as Continental
(
CAL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
up 4.48% at 27.96, Delta Airlines
(
DAL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 0.49% at 28.45, and Northwest
Airlines

(
NWAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 1.05% at 19.20, were all given the new status of
“near-term strong buy,” up from “near-term buy”.

Communications services company AT&T Corp.
(T),
down 0.72% at 13.75, announced a wider
thanexpected
first
quarter
loss and lowered its guidance for the second quarter. The company cited tough
competition and a weak economy as hurting sales.

Biotechnology company Biogen
(
BGEN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 3.27% at 42.90, said that
it beat first-quarter profits targets though lowered its guidance for the second
quarter and the rest of the year.

Communications equipment maker Qualcomm (QCOM),
up 3.22% at 33.29, posted profits in line with analysts

expectations . The company also reported a lower than expected second-quarter
profit and revenues, though was in line with expectations on a pro forma basis.

Security software maker Check Point Software
(CHKP),
up 0.27% at 18.25, reported lower
thanexpected
profits, though has affirmed its outlook for the remainder of the year.

Electric utilities company Calpine Corp. (CPN)
down 11.47% at 11.80, said that it will sell as much as 69 million shares to pay
off debt and for general corporate purposes.

Toy maker Jakks Pacific (JAKK),
down 3.81% at 18.40, announced that it has filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission for the sale of 3.5 million of its shares. 

From TM’s proprietary Momentum
List
, healthcare facilities company Triad Hospitals
(
TRI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, gained
7.65% at 40.80.

From TM’s proprietary Implosion
List
, software company Veritas Software
(
VRTS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, lost 5.82% at
26.85.