Which Is It?

This is a strange trading environment, but part of the reason may be that the
charts are showing a tug-of-war going on in the indices.

 

10:56:33

 Which way will it
go?

The Nasdaq 100 (NDX.X)
is sitting at an important inflection point.
The index undercut the neckline
around 1767 of a head and shoulders in mid-June and has pulled back to an area
above, but close to the level of the neckline. Interestingly, the NDX.X is
tracing out a mini cup and handle over the past three weeks. Which will win out?
Speculation is all about observation. NDX.X is currently down 30 at 1792.16.

 

Earlier this morning, we ran this post on an interesting looking chart in the
Nasdaq 100
(
NDX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
.

 

 

Today Dave Landry in the TradersWire
Interactive
chat room made a very salient point. As soon as
things either A) begin to be pooh-poohed by everyone or B) become
“obvious” — they tend to work in the case of A) and do just the
opposite in case B). Normal action for a breakdown from a head and shoulders is
a retracemet back to an area near the point of the breakdown/neckline. After
three down closes the index appears to be headed back to the downside, but not
so fast! The price activity for the month of June has traced out a mini cup and
handle. Smarter people than myself have taught me that things in the market are not
always pat, so I am going to sit tight for a confirmation as to the real
direction the NDX is going to take for the short-term.

Until tomorrow,

Duke