Why Retail Could Be Key…
The major indices lapped up off
the opening bell, then turned down in the first half-hour to trend to the day’s
lows around 11:30 ET, where an uptrend ensued into the close. Big caps were the
day’s leaders, with healthcare, retail, and broker/dealers advancing modestly;
gold and silver, oil service, networking, and utilities weighed down the minus
column.Â
Regaining its 200-day simple
moving average, the Retail HOLDRs
(
RTH |
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PowerRating), up 2.15%, was boosted with
positive news from Wal-Mart
(
WMT |
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PowerRating), up 1.77%. If the market is able to
trend upward from here, participation from retail will be a positive as concern
over consumer confidence lingers.
The
Dow Jones Industrial Average
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$INDU |
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PowerRating) closed up 1.12% at 9797.15. The
S&P 500
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$SPX |
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PowerRating) closed up 0.88% at 1049.94. The Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
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U.S. Treasury Bonds were
down 16 at 102 ’00.
In economic news, the ISM
Services index gave the markets an initial boost, rising to 60.1% for May,
up from 55.3% in April. Wall Street was looking for a 55.9% level.Â
Market breadth was mostly
positive, with NYSE advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of
1.23, and up–volume
over down–volume
by a 1.38 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in at 1.05,
and up–volume
beat down–volume
by a 1.04 ratio. The
VIX
was down 1.99 at 24.95. The TRIN
was down 0.51 at 0.93.
Average volume
moved the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq to close at the top of their daily ranges
in potential reversal patterns. The Semiconductor Index
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$SOX.X |
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up 0.28%, closed in a “doji” formation. The Broker/Dealer Index
(
$XBD.X |
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PowerRating), up 2.03%, closed at the top of its range in a potential
reversal pattern.
The top sectors of the
day were the Morgan
Stanley Healthcare Index
(
$HMO.X |
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PowerRating),
up 3.07% at 622.11, and the Securities Broker/Dealer Index
(
$XBD.X |
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PowerRating), up 2.03% at 359.34.
Losing
sectors of the day were the Gold and Silver Index
(
$XAU.X |
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PowerRating),
down 5.09% at 139.28, and the Oil Service Sector Index
(
$OSX.X |
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PowerRating),
down 2.27% at 97.35.
Enterprise management software maker Manugistics
(
MANU |
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PowerRating), down
25.69% at 5.90, warned that it would earn less as the market slumps, and will be
reducing its workforce. The stock was downgraded by Goldman Sachs, US Bancorp
Piper Jaffray, and Thomas Weisel Partners.
Electronic design automation software company Synopsis (SNPS),
down 0.38% at 49.64, announced that earnings for its third quarter will be 48
cents to 53 cents a share, which is below what many analysts were expecting.
Business integration software maker Tibco Software (TIBX),
down 1.48% at 5.30, said that it had a second quarter loss, as sales were as
much as $19 million less than expected.
Energy stocks were under pressure today as The Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission said it would revoke the rights of four companies to sell power if
they continued to thwart an investigation of manipulating market prices in
California. The companies warned were Avista
(
AVA |
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PowerRating), down 13.35% at
12.26, El Paso Electric
(
EP |
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PowerRating), down 0.66% at 23.89, Portland General
Electric
(
PGB |
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PowerRating), down 1.70% at 20.20, and Williams Companies
(
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PowerRating), down 18.64% at 9.12.
Communications equipment maker Ericsson (ERICY),
up 2.75% at 2.24, warned that it sees no improvement for its market next year.
Though confident the company will turn a profit next year, the company’s CEO
remains conservative in what he sees as a prolonged downturn.
Drug maker Astrazeneca (AZN),
up 0.91% at 43.15, has received an approval letter from the FDA for its
cholesterol drug Crestor. The company intends to launch the drug by the first
quarter of this year.
Discount retailer Wal-Mart (WMT),
up 1.77% at 54.96, reported that same-store sales were up 6.2% in May from a
year earlier. The company was expecting a percentage increase somewhere in the
mid single digits. Â
Brokerage stocks were lifted as Merrill Lynch
(
MER |
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PowerRating), up 3.34% at
41.10, was downgraded by Keefe Bruyette & Woods to an “outperform”
from a “market perform.” Also up were Goldman Sachs
(
GS |
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PowerRating), up
2.64% at 75.75, and Morgan Stanley
(
MWD |
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PowerRating), up 3.98% at 45.18.