Why Retail Will Be A Factor This Week

After
two days of solid gains,
stocks are mixed this midday. Blue chips are
slightly lower while techs are slightly higher. Following yesterday’s four-
month high in the major indices, equities are under pressure this morning after
a suicide attack in Saudi Arabia, lower-than-expected revenues from the world’s
largest retailer Wal-Mart
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, and Merill Lynch’s downgrade of several chip
stocks. Bonds are again higher today after some earlier weakness. The US dollar is firmer today after hitting another four-year low against the Euro.

The Dow Jones Industrial
Average

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is -0.44% at 8,687.72. The S&P 500
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is -0.13% at 943.85. The Nasdaq
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is +0.09% at
1542.93.

The day’s leading sectors are Disk Drives
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,
+2.57%,  Internet Commerce
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, +1.69%, Oil Services
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,
+1.07%, and Box Makers
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, +0.43%.

Weak today are Gold and
Silver

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, -1.25%, Semiconductors
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,
-0.76%, Paper
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, -0.69%, and Chemicals
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,
-0.40%.

In economic news, the Trade
Balance
for March fell to -$41 billion from -$40.4 billion.

The 10-year U.S. Note
is +10 at 117 005.

The dollar is +0.27 at
94.99

Gold is -1.30 at 350.50

Crude Oil +0.50 at
27.83

Volume is 659,000,000
on the NYSE, and at 931,000,000 on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is mixed,
with NYSE decling issues over declining issues by a ratio of 1.05, and up volume over
down volume by a 1.16 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over declining issues are at
1.03, and up volume over down  volume is at a 1.95 ratio.

Top Dow stocks are:

AT&T
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, +2.55% at16.88, IBM

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, +0.73% at 89.65, Altria 

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, +0.66% at 33.33, and DuPont
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+0.62% at 43.21.. 

Stocks in the news:

The world’s largest retailer Wal-Mart
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down 1.2% and off day’s low. The company reported first-quarter
earnings of 42 cents a share versus 37 cents a share a year ago. Although
earnings were inline with
expectations,
the company missed the revenue forecast. Other retailers including Ann Taylor
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,
Federated Department stores
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, Kohls
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, and Target
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are
set to report later this week. 

Drug maker Schering-Plough
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is off 1.35% on heavy volume. The company reported first-quarter results of 12
cents a share or down from 41 cents a share in the same period a year ago.
However Schering managed to top estimates by 2 cents. Schering blamed the
results on weak sales of Claritin and lower U.S. sales. 

Tech Data
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is
off 2.10% after Lehman Brothers reduced its fiscal year 2004 estimates to $1.65
from $1.81. 

Wells Fargo downgraded Boston
Scientific

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to “hold” from “buy”. Wells based
the downgrade on  valuation concerns.


vincentm@tradingmarkets.com