Why The Market Was Able To Rally

A turnaround rally with a positive twist had
the S&P 500 futures ending in the green.
After two negative economic reports
this morning, the S&Ps dropped off and traded in a fairly tight range in
negative territory. But like yesterday when the markets shook off the negative
Consumer Confidence number, today’s S&P futures also shook off the bad news and
closed up. The Sept S&P 500 shot up the last hour of trade to end at 911.50 up
3.50.

The Sept Nasdaq 100 futures
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did not
fare as well. On the intraday chart NDU2 formed a 1,2,3 lower bottom and did
attempt to rally back to close in the positive zone. But time ran out and the
Nasdaq 100 futures ended losing 20 or 2.03% to 964.50.

The weatherman rules the grain and bean markets
these days. Today’s markets were propelled by the outlook for extended dry,
burning hot weather in the Midwest.

November soybeans
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were the big winners, soaring upward after
weather forecasts showed extreme heat in the soybean belt for the next 10 days.
Soybeans have now risen up over 7% since this past Tuesday and are now $5.36 a
bushel. November soybeans rose 18 cents or 3.47%l.

In the corn belt, weather conditions will not be as bad in the coming days. Some
of the crop has already been damaged by heat. Another heat wave would
increase more losses to the crop causing prices to rise. Today December corn
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rose 10 cents to $2.55 1/4 a bushel.

Wheat prices rose, thanks to the positive rallies in soybeans and corn. Sept.
wheat

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rose 2.45% in value. Wheat for September delivery rose 8
cents to $3.34 a bushel.

In the energy market, September crude oil
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advanced lost .41
or 1.50% cents to $26.94 a barrel; August unleaded gasoline
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slid 1.12 cents or 1.40% to 78.79 cents a gallon, August heating oil
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dropped 1.05 cents to 68.70 cents a gallon and August natural gas
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edged up .06 cents to $2.95 per million British thermal units.

On the Comex Divison of the New York Mercantile Exchange, December gold
futures

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traded sideways and held up in a $306.00-$307.50 range,
then fell down to close at $305.30 an ounce down .70. With the equity markets
beginning to perk up as well as the dollar
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some gold traders are
waiting to see if this rally is for real or if it is setting up for another
fall.

September silver
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also was restricted to a tight
$4.625-$4.665 range. Silver closed at $4.605 down 5.29 cents or 1.14%.
September copper

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dropped 1.05 or 1.52% to close at 68.20 a
pound.