Why Today Was An Important Day For Interest Rates

The markets reversed course
midday on the back of a
possible Shiite/civilian uprising in Basra against
Saddam’s military personnel. And as a result, equities finished
higher, while gold and energy futures finished lower. Price action in
Treasuries, on the other hand, was dictated by the outcome of a vote by
the US Senate to slash the proposed Bush tax cut in half.

Equities

Equities pulled back from their highs off the
back of the Senate vote but finished up on the day. The S&P contract
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was
up 7.20 to finish at 870.20; the Dow
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was up by 45 to
finish at 8235, and the Nasdaq
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finished up 17.00
and closed at 1067.00.

Fixed Income

Treasuries closed higher for a second day as
“crowding out” concerns were somewhat alleviated by the reduction of the
proposed tax relief package was cut in half. Bond investors were concerned that
the original $700+ billion tax cut plan would have dramatically pushed up
interest rates. The 10 year contract
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closed at 113-175, up 0-015; the 30 year
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finished at 111-02, up 0-01; and the five year note finished
up 0-020 to close at 112-155
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Metals

Gold gave back about half of yesterday’s gains
and was down 1.20, to finish at 328.30
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. Silver
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was up a
slight .69% to finish at 4.393. The industrial metals were mixed as copper
was up .25 to finish at 77.10
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and aluminum
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was down
.0010 to close at .6550.

Energy

Crude gave back some of yesterday’s gains on the
back of better news for the coalition in Iraq. Oil futures were down 2.41% to
close at 27.97
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. And, natural gas was also down by 3.43% to close at
5.077
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.

Currencies

The USD index
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was down by a slight
.06 and finished at 101.37.