Are You Watching The 10-Year Note?

Stocks are mixed Thursday,
with technology leading, boosted by a good report from eBay.

eBay
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beat by a penny. Q3 net
rose 77% as listings rose and PayPal expanded to Europe.EBAY is up 7% at 97.75.

Initial claims for the week of 10/16 fell by
25,000 to 329,000; the 4-week moving average is 348,250 .Continuing claims fell
to 2.7 million from 2.8 million. Leading economic indicators fell  -0.1%,
less than expected. It was the fourth straight month of declines. The Philly Fed
index rose to 28.5 in October, more than expected.

Sears
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reported a loss of (0.29); the
estimate was 0.01. The company saw the largest sales decline in 8 years, posting
a Q3 loss of $61 million.

AIG
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missed by a penny. Revenue rose 25%. The company said
they’ve seen no slowdown in business since the Spitzer investigation was
launched last week.

Caterpillar’s

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earnings more than doubled.

Eli Lilly

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reported 0.69 and said it will cut 1,000 jobs and will take a restructuring
charge of 0.19 -0.24 in Q4.

Merck
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reported  0.60 vs. 0.83 a year ago. The company said
Vioxx will affect earnings by 0.50 -0.55 this year, and also said over 300 Vioxx
lawsuits have been filed and expect more.

The 10-year note made its lowest yields in over 6
months.

Microsoft
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will report after the close; the estimate is 0.30.

Dow -61.58 9825.35
S&P 500 -2.37 1101.29
Nasdaq +3.61 1936.58

Strong sectors are: Airlines

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+2.76%, Internet
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+2.22%, Semis
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+1.98%.

Weak sectors are: Healthcare Providers
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-1.31%, Biotech
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-2.01%, Health Care
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, -1.13%.

10-year notes are: +010
at 113 210

The dollar is -0.32 at
86.03

Gold is -1.00 at 423.20

Crude Oil is +0.07 at 54.48

ce=”Arial” size=”2″ face=”Arial”>Volume is 816 million on the NYSE and
988 million on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is positive.

NYSE Issues
Advancing 2036 Up Vol 465
Declining 1039 Down Vol 265
Ratio 1.95 1.75
Nasdaq
Advancing 1494 Up Vol 649
Declining 1307 Down Vol 267
Ratio 1.14 2.43

Stocks in the News

Amgen
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beat by 0.02 and raised 2004 earnings and revenue
guidance.

AT&T
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posted a $7.1 loss due to a write-down.

Xerox
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reported 0.11 vs. 0.17 a year ago.

Altera
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beat by 0.04.

Chiron
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reported non-GAAP  of 0.26.

DeVry
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missed by 0.08 and was light on revenues.

STMicroelectronics
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beat by 0.03 and cut guidance.

Primeris Airlines will buy 20 Boeing
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7E7s and 20 737s.

Colgate
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goes to a buy from neutral at Merrill Lynch.

Symantec
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reported 0.41 vs. a 0.39 estimate and announced a
2:1 stock split.

SBC
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was 0.38, in-line.

Brice Wightman