Cyclicals Are Showing Signs Of A Rebound

Stocks are
flat on this first anniversary
of the
beginning of the Iraq war, as oil hit a new 13-year high on concerns over summer
gasoline supplies.
The Dow is up 0.4% for
the week with cyclicals showing signs of rebound. Many companies have raised
estimates this week, including Masco
(
MAS |
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, Stanley Works
(
SWK |
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,
Fortune Brands
(
FO |
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and FedEx
(
FDX |
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. The February
Semiconductor book-to-bill ratio was 1.14 below consensus.

The dollar traded lower against
the euro once again after reports of bomb threat to Washington DC schools.

Adobe Systems
(
ADBE |
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PowerRating)

rose 8% after reporting earnings that more than doubled at $123 million with
revenue rising 43% to $423 million. The company also raised annual growth target
to 15% with earnings at $1.43 a share.

Marathon Oil
(
MRO |
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PowerRating)

announced a deal to purchase a 38% stake in Ashland
(
ASH |
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for $2.93
billion. MRO would own Ashland’s the entire US refining, transportation and
marketing operations. Ashland would also pay $94 million to make its business
more compatible with Marathon’s.

Dow
-11.04

10284.56
S&P 500
-2.50
1120.30
Nasdaq +2.30
1964.95

The day’s leading sectors are
Biotechs
(
BTK.X |
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PowerRating)
+0.90%, Internet
(
ECM.X |
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+0.36%,
Telecoms

(
XTC.X |
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Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
+0.29%, and Techs
(
TXX.X |
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+0.27%, and
Utility

(
UTY.X |
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+0.15%.

Weak today are Semis
(
SOX.X |
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PowerRating)

-1.27%, and Airlines
(
XAL.X |
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-1.08%.

No Economic news releases
today.

10-year Notes are -40 at
117 040

The dollar
is +0.44 at 88.59

Gold is -0.90 at 410.40

Crude oil is +0.18 at
38.11

The euro
is +1.33 at 123.44

Volume is 631,000,000 on
the NYSE, and 795,000,000 on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is mixed.

NYSE Issues
Advancing 1497 Up Vol
272
Declining 1540 Down Vol
317
Ratio 1.03 1.11
Nasdaq
Advancing 1494 Up Vol
379
Declining 1383 Down Vol 337
Ratio 1.08 1.11

Top Dow stocks are:

Kodak
(
EK |
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, +1.75% at 26.02,
Alcoa

(
AA |
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PowerRating)
, +1.49% at 35.33, Intl Paper
(
IP |
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News |
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, +1.23% at 41.96
and Honeywell
(
HON |
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Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, +1.22% at 33.10.

Stocks in the news:

Solectron
(
SLR |
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posted a narrower
loss of $68 million on revenue of $2.89 billion. The 2 penny loss was in line
with estimates but analysts were disappointed with lower gross margin of 4.5%

Tektronix
(
TEK |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
reported
third-quarter net loss of $43.6 million vs the $2 million net-loss the same
period last year with revenue up at $243.5 million.

Coca-Cola
(
KO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
recalled half a million bottles of
Dasani water sold in Britain after detecting a higher-than-permitted level of
the chemical bromate.

Nike
(
NKE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
posted
earnings of $200.3 million, beating estimates by a penny with revenue up 21% at
$2.9 billion.


bricew@tradingmarkets.com