Friday’s Futures Setups
The futures gapped up the major indices today.
This helped stocks rise for the fifth day in six as International Business
Machines
(
IBM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)., Eastman Kodak
(
EK |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) and United Technologies
(
UTX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) became the latest companies to report higher-than-forecast profits.
Almost two-thirds of the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index that have
published quarterly results have exceeded estimates.
The S&P 500 futures for Dec.
(
SPZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
rose up 17.19 or 1.99% to 879.50 above its 50-day moving average and the 50%
retracement level drawn from the Aug high to the recent lows this month. The
Dec. Nasdaq 100
(
NDZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) broke up and tried to break its resistance level
at 960.00 but ended closing at 946 up 26.50 or 2.88%.
The Treasuries continued to break down from their
recent highs. The Dec. 10-year note
(
TYZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) broke below its 50-day
moving average to close down 180 to 112 180. The Dec. 30 year bond
(
USZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) continued its slide falling 1′ 00 to 108′ 25.

After hitting a contract high and a 16-year high
just last week, December cocoa futures
(
CCZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) have seen a big sell
off this week. Cocoa broke below the 38% retracement line and is heading for the
50% and 50-day moving average. The Bulls can argue that a profit-taking,
corrective pullback was bound to happen. We will probably see more near-term
price declines from present levels, which would suggest that the top is in place
in the cocoa market. 2054 is a support zone.
Possible
short candidates:
| Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
| Dec. cocoa ( CCZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Momentum |
down |
Trade below 2054 |
| Soybeans ( SX2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Counter trend rally |
down | Trade below 528 |
| Soymeal ( SMZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Counter trend rally |
down |
Trade below 166.30 |
| Canadian Dollar ( CDZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Counter trend rally |
down | Trade below .6276 |
| Dec. Lean Hogs ( LHZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Sell | down | break below 40.00 |
Possible
long candidates:
| Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
| Pork Bellies ( PBG3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Continuation out of pullback to 20-day MA |
up |
Trade above 75.05 |
| Sugar ( SBH3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from high |
up |
Trade above 6.85 |
| Dec. wheat ( WZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Turtle soup plus one buy | up |
break above 3.84 |
Please note that while there are strong trends, one bar or a series of bars
forming a setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This
contra move may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with
the main trend is always the highest probability trade.
Use stops on all your trades.