Friday’s Futures Setups
The big
story today in the commodity futures is the continued blood bath in the U.S.
dollar market. What added to the declines in the dollar today was an
economic report released this morning that showed an expanding U.S. trade
deficit. The weekly chart for the September dollar (DXM2)
shows that prices are in a steep downtrend. Solid support is at the 108.00 area.
Historically, downtrends tend to last longer in major currencies. This means
that there is a possibility that we could see further decline in the dollar in
the coming weeks. The September dollar closed at 109.48, down .71. The
Japanese yen for September (JYU2)
rose .23 to 81.34, and the September euro (ECU2)
was unchanged at .96.
The Treasuries continued to move higher
today. Both the September 10-year Treasury note
(
TYU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) and the
30-year bond
(
USU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) hit new highs. Both treasuries are on the
TradingMarkets.com Momentum 5 List.
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup
Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
| Sept cocoa ( CCU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup |
Down |
break below 1550 |
| Sept 10-y note ( TYU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup |
Down | break below 105.50 |
| Sept British pound ( BPU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Sell Setup |
Down |
break below 1.46 |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One
Buy Setup
Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
| Sept dollar ( DXU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Buy Setup |
UP | break above 113.60 |
| July lean hogs ( LHN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Buy Setup |
UP | break above 50 |
| Sept Nasdaq 100 ( NDU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Buy Setup |
UP |
break above 1200 |
| Sept S&P 500 ( SPU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Buy Setup |
UP |
break above 1040 |
| Sept Dow Jones Indus ( DJU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Plus One Buy Setup |
UP |
break above 9810 |
Pullback From The High
Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
| July wheat ( WN2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from the high | UP | 2.82 |
| July silver ( SIN2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from the high |
UP |
5.04 |
August gold ( GCQ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from the high |
UP |
325.00 |
July frozen orange juice ( JON2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from the high |
UP | break above 91 |
July bean oil ( BON2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from the high |
UP | break above 18.30 |
Please note that
while there are strong trends in some commodities, one bar or a series of bars
forming a setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This
contra move may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading
with the main trend is always the highest probability trade.
Use stops on all your
trades.