Friday’s Options Alerts

We didn’t get any
follow through after yesterday’s huge reversal.
It
was another volatile session, but the SEC investigation into AOL-Timer Warner,
negative comments about the chip industry, and mixed economic data weighed down
the market. After having been up 118 points in the morning, the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

reversed course and ended the day down only about 5 points. The S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

fell 4.75 points, and the Nasdaq
(
$COMPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was the hardest hit as it
dropped 50 points or 3.88%, thanks to weakness in the Internet and chip stocks.
This lack of follow though has been very common in this bear market.


On the
economic front, June durable goods orders came in much worse than expected as it
dropped 3.8% while economists were expecting a 0.7% increase. However weekly initial
jobless claims fell by a larger-than-expected 21,000 to an 18-month low of
362,000.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped higher at the open, ran
slightly higher, and closed near the lower third of its range. This shift
in intraday sentiment again shows a decrease in fear. No more CVR signals were
tirggered today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped lower, opened near its
lows,
and closed near the highs of the day. The VXN didn’t trigger any CVR signals
either.

Points of Significance:

Taiwan Semiconductor
(
TSM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 18% on more than five times its average volume. The
company reported second-quarter results were below expectations, but they
dropped the bomb on the semiconductor sector when they cut their capital
spending for the rest of the year.

Scios
(
SCIO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
jumped 7% on more than four times its average volume. The
stock reported a smaller-than-expected loss of 42 cents a shares compared to
estimates of 59 cents a share.


Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 44.65
DOWN 0.64
NONE
3.45%
Above
Not
At Extreme
VXN 69.48
UP 3.89
NONE
6.47
%
Above
Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Taiwan Semiconductor

TSM

– 18.49
6072
2240
Haliburton

HAL

+ 11.96
11744
4681
Zimmer Holdings

ZMH

+ 9.47
1310
215
Scios Inc.

SCIO

+ 6.95
1863
268
Neurocrine Biosciences

NBIX

+ 6.64
934
118
Stericycle

SRCL

+ 4.70
1042
458

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Pennzoil-Quaker State

PZL

26.5
17.7
43.2
14.8
Duane Reade

DRD

66.4
51.9
46.6
28.9
Manhattan Associates

MANH

137.3
115
108.1
70.6
Lifepoint Hospitals

LPNT

77.1
65.3
55.1
38.7
ITT Industries

ITT

39.2
33.5
34.9
19.4
Laboratory Corp.

LH

88.7
76.1
63.4
24.2

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Sigma Aldrich

SIAL

358.5
50.2
37.6
27.6
Amgen

AMGN

51
69.4
73.3
28.4
Ambac Financial

ABK

39.6
48.7
40.9
22.9
Coors

RKY

38.2
45.3
36.3
22.9
Burlington Northern

BNI

28.1
33
29
24.7
Ferro Corp.

FOE

24.1
28.3
25.3
23.3

Please use stops on every trade!