If This Prediction Is True, Are Airlines A Buy?

Stocks are lower on quad witching Friday, as oil
remains at near high levels and after warnings by two companies.

Radio Shack
(
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cut profit forecast–for the second time in a
month. Continental Airlines
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said it sees a “significant loss”
for 2005.

Morgan Stanley raised its rating on Apple
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.  Deutsche
Bank raised its rating on Intel
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. 

Nike
(
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beat estimates, reporting $1.01 vs. 0.74 this time last
year.

Adobe
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beat estimates by 0.03 and guided higher. The company
also announced a 2:1 stock split.

So far in 2005, oil is up 15%, and up 50% since March 2004.

Import prices for February +0.8%, boosted by rising gas prices; export prices
were unchanged.

Consumer sentiment slipped for a third straight month. The University of
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 92.9–worse than expected–vs. 94.1 in
February.

Merrill Lynch added Southwest
(
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] to its Focus One list. On a
separate but related note, the FAA predicts there will be 1 billion fliers in 10
year–a 46% increase from current levels. Regional carriers are expected to fuel
the increase.

Strong sectors are: Natural Gas
(
$XNG.X |
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+0.52%   Oil
(
$OIX.X |
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+0.42%  Homebuilders  
(
$HGX.X |
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+0.42% 

Weak sectors are:  Computer Hardware
(
$HWI.X |
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PowerRating)

-1.34%   Healthcare Providers  
(
$HMO.X |
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-1.29%    
Semis

(
$SOX.X |
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-0.83%

Dow -8.65 10,617.70
Nasdaq -5.80 2010.62
S&P 500 -1.90 1188.31

The dollar is +0.29 at
82.13

Crude Oil is -0.01 at
56.90

Gold is +0.30 at 439.30

ce=”Arial” size=”2″ face=”Arial”>Volume is 973 million on the NYSE and
1.025 billion on the Nasdaq

Market breadth is negative.

NYSE Issues
Advancing 1130 Up Vol 342
Declining 1974 Down Vol 554
1.74 1.61
Nasdaq
Advancing 1001 Up Vol 343
Declining 1916 Down Vol 626
1.91 1.82

Stocks in the News

Palm
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cut Q4 estimates; Bear Stearns upgraded the stock.

Dreamworks
(
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reported a Q4 profit, citing strong “Shark Tale”
and “Shrek 2” DVD and video sales.

Borders
(
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was the subject of a favorable in The Wall Street
Journal’s
“Heard on the Street” column.

Business Week said that earnings at JP Morgan
(
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will be “much
worse” than the current $3.06 estimate.

Brice Wightman