Making Sense Of Microsoft

After an
early selloff, stocks rallied to close green Thursday.

 With 181 of the S&P 500 companies reporting,
70% have beat analysts’ forecasts, 45% have matched and 24% have missed. Initial
claims dropped 11,000 to 339,000 with the index of leading indicators also
dropping 0.2%.

Adolph Coors
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and Molson of Canada agreed to merge in a $6
billion deal to become the world’s fifth-largest brewer by volume. Molson
shareholders would control 55% of the new company and is expected to produce
$175 million in annual savings by 2007.

UPS

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reported a strong
quarter with income up at $818 million and revenue at $8.87 billion. The company
saw growth in its global small package segment and internal exports segments.
UPS upped FY04 earnings, saying they would be 20% higher from a year ago.
McDonalds

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posted earnings of $591 million with revenue up 10% to
$4.7 billion. Same-store US sales were up 9.2%. The company also said it would
invest $1.5 billion in 2004 and cut its debt by $600 million.

Microsoft
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reported EPS of 28 cents, missing by a penny, with revenue $9.29 billion, up 15%
for Q4 and up 40% from a year ago; the net was  The stock traded down after
hours. Amgen
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reported Q2 of $0.62, beating by 0.03; revenue
was $2.68 billion; EPS increased 27%. Amazon.com
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reported
$0.18, missing by a penny, on revenues of $76.5 million; sales were up 26%.
NBTY Inc

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missed by 0.11; McKesson
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beat by 0.07.
Xilinx
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was in-line but light on revenues. Coca-Cola
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reported $0.65, beating by 0.02; net income was $1.6 billion, 16% higher than a
year ago. Micromuse
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missed by 0.02 and announced a 2 million
share buyback.

Dow +4.20 10050.04
S&P 500 -3.04 1096
Nasdaq +14.69 1889.06

Strong today were: Semis
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+3.09%, Biotechs 
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+2.36%, Telecoms
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+1.42%, and Drugs
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+1.18%.

Weak today were: Healthcare
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-0.64%, Insurance
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-0.62%.

Economic news releases today
include initial claims that fell to 339,000 and leading indicators index that
was 0.2% lower.

10-year Notes were +050
at 110 160

The dollar
was -0.13 at 88.40

Gold was -2.10 at
394.60.

Crude Oil was +0.82 at
41.36

Volume was 1.68 billion
on the NYSE, and 1.94 billion on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth was mostly
negative.

NYSE Issues
Advancing 1295 Up Vol 750
Declining 1978 Down Vol 919
Ratio 1.52 1.22
Nasdaq
Advancing 1335 Up Vol 1278
Declining 1805 Down Vol 604
Ratio 1.35 2.11

Stocks in the news:

eBay
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reported earnings of
$190.4 million, which was ahead of analysts’ consensus. eBay also upped FY04
outlook, expecting revenue to reach $3.185 billion.

Caterpillar
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fell 5%
after reporting $522 million with sales up at $7.56 billion. Higher costs for
steel and operating costs cut into its profit margin. CAT raised FY04 growth
outlook to 80% with sales growth up 25%.

Countrywide Financial
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posted income of $700
million and raised its 2004 guidance to $8.00 a share.

Washington Mutual
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was lower after missing
earnings expectations. It reported earnings of 55 cents a share as its
home-loans business slumped. Total loan volume was down 35%.

Brice Wightman

bricew@tradingmarkets.com