MidnightTrader Earnings Analysis: AMD
AMD
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PowerRating) is expected to report Q3 results tonight after the close. The Thomson Reuters mean is for a loss of $0.40 per share on $1.47 billion in revenue.
AMD is mixed in the near-term, with two narrowing events and two widening trades between the sessions in the last four quarters. Over the long term, AMD also favors a narrowing pattern, either cutting back or reversing its evening trade 10 times in the last 17 quarters, and seeing flat trade between the sessions in another instance.
AMD is an issue that shorts may want to hammer at. The stock has recorded an earnings-driven upside move in the after-hours in 11 of the last 17 quarters we’ve tracked. In nine of those quarters, it has seen its after-hours gain reverse or narrow the following regular session. In the seven quarters where AMD has recorded an evening decline, it added to that downside the following day six times.
On July 17, 2008, AMD declined 7.1% in after-hours action after missing Q2 expectations. The stock turned deeper south the next day, losing 12.2% by the close on July 18.
On April 17, 2008, the stock managed a slim 0.3% advance in night trade after the company meets with Q1 results. Shares fell 2.3% the next day.
On Jan. 17, 2008, the stock gained 4.3% during evening trading after AMD reported a sales miss. The gain swelled to 11.5% the next day.
On Oct. 18, 2007, AMD clawed 0.3% higher in after-hours trade after beating Q3 expectations. It couldn’t hold on to this slight gain and closed the Oct. 19 regular session with a deep 5.1% decline.
On July 19, 2007, AMD jumped 4.5% in after-hours trade after beating Q2 revenue expectations. It lost that gain the following day, ending the July 20 regular session down 1.7%.
On April 19, 2007, the stock was up 0.8% after revenues decline vs a year ago and the company guides for revs in line to up slightly. Shares ended down 1.4% the next day.
On January 23, 2007, AMD dropped 4.3% in night trade after beating Q4 sales estimates but guiding Q1 below Street views. Shares tumbled further the next day, ending the regular session down 8.4%.
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