Monday’s Futures Setups

Trading at the NYMEX where energy futures are
traded
became a focal point for traders as crude oil, heating oil and
unleaded gasoline all rallied higher due to comments made by a top Iraqi
official. Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz said in an interview in Baghdad
broadcast Friday that Iraq opposes the return of U.N. weapons inspectors, saying
that inspections of Iraq will not resolve anything. After this was reported in
early trading, the October crude oil contract
(
CLV2 |
Quote |
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rallied higher
to close at $29.82 a barrel, a gain of .97, or 3.36%. This is just below the
closely watched number of $30 a barrel. October heating oil
(
HOV2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

rolled higher by 2.12 cents, or 2.77%, to 78.70 a gallon. October unleaded
gasoline

(
HUV2 |
Quote |
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PowerRating)
closed at 80.70 a gallon, up 2.16 cents, or 2.75%, and
October natural gas
(
NGV2 |
Quote |
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PowerRating)
rallied up .14, or 4.24%, to 3.47.

A mixed reading on the overall economic outlook
put the markets on shaky ground with volume still below normal levels (the 20th
straight day with below-average volume). The negative feeling in the economy
caused the University of Michigan consumer confidence numbers to come in weaker
than expected. This sent the markets lower, but by the end of trading, the
Dec. S&P 500

(
SPZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
squeezed out a modest gain by 2.20 to end at
891.50. In the chart above, the S&P 500 futures look weak, and it is possible
that SPZ2 could retest the 50% retracement level (869.20) drawn from the July to
August rally.

The Dec. Nasdaq 100 futures
(
NDZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

stayed positive most of the day, closing at 927, up 8.50. This puts support at
the 914.00 level.


Possible
short candidates:




Contract


Setup


Direction


Trigger


Dec wheat
(
WZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


possible
turtle soup plus one sell


Down


break below 3.84

Oct.
unleaded gasoline
(
HUV2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


possible
turtle soup plus one sell

Down


break below .8000



Nov.
frozen OJ
(
JOX2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


Breakdown from head and shoulders


Down



break
below 101.15



Dec. 30-year bond
(
USZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


possible turtle soup plus one sell


Down



break below 112^00


Sept 10-year note
(
TYZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)



possible turtle soup plus one sell

Down




break below 114



Possible long candidates:








Contract


Setup


Direction


Trigger


Dec Copper
(
HGZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)



Possible Turtle Soup Buy Candidate


Up



break
above .69


Heating
Oil
(
HOV2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


Triangle
at high


Up


break
above .7670


Soybean Meal
(
SMZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


Pullback from high


Up


break above 171.10


Soybeans
(
SX2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)


Pullback from high


Up



break
above 545 1/2



Dec. coffee
(
KCZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)



Pullback from high



Up



break
above 60.00




Oct. crude oil
(
CLV2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)



Pullback



from high



Up



break
above 29.00

Please note that while there are
strong trends, one bar or a series of bars forming a setup can sometimes
indicate a contra move for the next day. This contra move may not be
long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with the main trend is
always the highest probability trade.

Use stops on all your trades.