Monday’s Options Alerts

The major averages put in a sharp
rally
on this post July 4 trading day. Fireworks lit up the Street today as
the Dow
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained almost 325 points, or 3.5%. The S&P
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

rose 35 points or 3.67%, while the Nasdaq jumped 68 points or almost 5%.

There
were lots of sectors in the green today while the lone losing sector was gold.
Semiconductor issues
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
were the biggest gainers today as they
jumped 9%. Stocks rallied strongly despite the weak employment data. The June
non farm payrolls rose 36k vs. consensus expectations of 94k, and the
unemployment rate rose to 5.9% from 5.8%, in line with expectations. Although
this was a shortened trading day (low volume), the rally was impressive. As
always, follow through will be key. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped down, opened
on its highs and closed in the lower third of its range. This shift
in intraday sentiment again shows a big drop in fear. No more CVR signals were
triggered today. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
also gapped down, opened near its highs
and closed near the lows of the day. This shift in intraday sentiment also
shows a big decrease in fear. No CVR signals were triggered by the VXN
either.

Points of Significance:

JDA Software
(
JDAS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
plummeted 44% on
more than 12 times its average volume.
The company warned that its second quarter results would come in between 17 to
18 cents a share. Analysts were expecting 22 cents a share. JDA broke down from
a head & shoulders today.

VISX
(
EYE |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gained almost 7%,
however volume was very lackluster. The shares stopped just shy of their
1.27 retracement from its October lows on Wednesday.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 30.21 DOWN
3.10
NONE 3.11%
Below
Not
At Extreme
VXN 56.28 DOWN
3.78
NONE 5.63
% Below
Not
At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
JDA
Software
JDAS
11.90
2115 184
Xilinx XLNX +
9.97
13038 4926
Shaw
Group
SGR +
8.52
977 370
Qualcomm QCOM +
8.18
12170 5662
VISX
Inc.
EYE + 6.93 458 102
Hewlett
Packard
HPQ +
7.09
7697 1842

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
St.
Joe
JOE 22.5 18.4 35.5 19
Ameren
Corp.
AEE 25.1 21.1 23.2 17.1
Tweeter
Home Entertainment
TWTR 64.9 57 68.2 52.1
AVX
Corp.
AVX 50 44.2 49.6 33.7
Ingram
Micro
IM 45.2 38.5 44.2 36.2
Dianon
Systems
DIAN 100.3 90.3 68.7 42

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
M
& T Bank
MTB 20 24.6 23.2 15
Progress
Energy
PGN 18.1 22.2 27.1 11.8
Columbia
Gas Systems
CG 29.6 34 32.2 22.4
Cell
Genesys
CEGE 64.4 73.9 68.1 54.8
Coach COH 52.6 60.3 53.6 40.6
Websense WBSN 84.3 96.5 82.8 64.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

Please use stops on every trade.