The Benefit Of The Doubt

The markets continue
to act well
. In fact, more and more stocks are setting
up
in bases. Whether they break out or not is another story. The good news is

that more and more names have
broken out as the NEW HIGH LIST has expanded.

SECONDARY
stocks continue to lead the way as many stocks under $20 are acting

well. This is happening while the
major indices have been churning.

This scenario
can also play out badly. I never want to see speculative froth. It

is long-term bad for the market.
But until the market starts gagging, it
gets
the benefit of the doubt. About the only thing the market has going

against it is that all my
short-term sentiment indicators continue to flash
red
lights…but stock price performance counts first, and secondary
indicators
are named secondary for a reason.

There are some important levels that I want you
to watch. In order for the
market
to attempt another leg up, it must breach Dec. 6’s highs. They are a

10,170 Dow
(
$INDU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, a 1174 S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and
a 2066 Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
These major indices break down
below
a 9900 Dow and, more importantly, at 9700….a S&P 500 at 1125, 1118 and

most importantly 1100…and the
Nasdaq below 1900.

I will be putting out my “quarterly
review” on Wednesday, as well as some
thoughts
on the year 2001.
Have a Happy New Year!