Thursday’s Options Alerts

Not a creature was stirring,
not even a mouse.
The suits (Wall
Streeters) were nowhere to be found, so the market took its cue from Santa and
donned the “red threads” in today’s trade. All the averages were down,
mainly on continued weakness out of the retail sector
(
TGT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and a
noticeably weak Durable Goods report. Volume was very light as expected on a
holiday-abbreviated session, producing barely a crumb for the little guy (mouse)
that did decide to enter the house of the NYSE on Christmas Eve.

The
(
$VIX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and the
(
$VXN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
finished mixed, with no CVR signals
being
triggered in today’s trade. The curiosity here is the divergence in the two
indices. The VXN established a new multiweek low which might be expected before
what will be a prolonged for many in the investment community as the implied
volatilities are “artificially” crushed to reflect a smaller trading
period vs. number of actual days. The VIX meanwhile was up roughly 7%, showing
that
the spirit of giving (selling volatility
and thereby distributing) before this Christmas holiday was not to be found in
this particular product.

Have a very merry holiday.

Points of Significance:


Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 30.05 Up
+2.31

None
3.6%
Below

Not at Extreme
VXN 45.13 Down -1.65 None 7.9% Below Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume — This list
includes both percentage movers that are normally associated with an increase in
options activity, as well as stocks that have unusually high activity and / or
technical situations,
reflecting increased speculation of a potential price move.

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
First
Data

FDC

+2%
1392 514
Bank One
ONE
0% 4386 1935
Oil
Service HOLDR’s

OIH
-1% 3939 474

Stocks With Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with Increases and Decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day. Candidates are then screened qualitatively.
These lists represent those issues that carry a blend of liquidity and/or
technical setups that might deserve further notice.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Columbia
Sportswear

COLM
47.2 43.6 62.7 43.8

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Affiliated
Computer Service

ACS
40.5 44.9 70.2 31.3

Please use stops on every trade!