Thursday’s Options Alerts

The DOW led the major averages higher as it posted triple digit gains today
thanks to Sears
(
S |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, Eastman Kodak
(
EK |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, Dupont
(
DD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, and Caterpillar
(
CAT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
. Tech stocks
rebounded somewhat after several brokerages came to Cisco’s defense over worries
that the company will have a negative pre-announcement. For more information on today’s action, please refer to
the market
recap
.

The VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

opened near its highs and closed near its lows. This
intraday shift in sentiment suggest that fear is decreasing. No CVR signals was
triggered by the VIX today.. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up and opened near
the highs of the day and closed near its lows. This shift in intraday sentiment also shows fear
decreasing. The VXN triggered a CVR I and II buy signals today. 

Points of Significance:

Research In Motion
(
RIMM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped
over 13% on 6 times its average volume today. The company lowered its revenue
and earnings targets for their first quarter and full year 2003. The company
also said that it will post of first quarter loss of 18 to 22 cents per share
compared with previous estimates of a loss of 10 to 12 cents per share. The
shares are continuing to break down after a double top. It has also broken an
uptrend line on its weekly chart. 

Brocade Communications
(
BRCD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

dropped 6% on heavy volume. The stock came under pressure today as SG Cowen
lowered estimates on a number  of storage stocks. Brocade is trading in a
head & shoulders top and it closed right above its neckline. 

Biotechs rebounded today, helped by
Genentech
(
DNA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, however they are still in a severe downtrend. Enzon
(
ENZN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

gained over % on double its average volume. The shares rebounded today after a
two-week losing streak. The decline in Enzon shares were halted at the 1.27
retracement of the prior counter trend rally. There is some speculation in the
May 60 calls.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 20.22 DOWN
0.83
NONE 1.75%
Below
Not
at Extreme
VXN 42.07 DOWN
0.39
CVR
I, II BUY 

6.24
% Above
Not
at Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement

Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
Research
In Motion
RIMM
13.19
15727 2703
Panera
Bread
PNRA +
9.68
1192 318
Siebel
Systems
SEBL
7.69
73623 18219
Brocade
Communications
BRCD
6.25
22447 10546
Enzon ENZN +
6.48
2729 754
Tyson
Foods
TSN +
6.98
2723 923

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
— Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
American
Capital Strategies
ACAS 27.3 21.9 42 24.8
Cemex
S.A.
CX 26.7 22 32.2 21.9
Basic
Industires SPDRs
XLB 19.7 16.7 42 17.3
Computer
Sciences
CSC 49 41.8 48.6 38.3
ITT
Industries
ITT 24.1 21.3 31.5 19.4
Dial
Corp.
DL 31.8 28.2 41.7 27.2

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
PennzEnergy PZL 16.1 40.2 54.2 29.6
IDEC
Pharmaceuticals
IDPH 48.7 56.8 70.9 47.1
Wrigleys WWY 14.6 16.9 26 14.9
Int’l
Flavors
IFF 21.8 25.2 34.5 24.8
Genuine
Parts
GPC 18.1 20.9 29.1 20.3
Smurffit
Stone
SSCC 26.1 29.7 56.9 29.3

Please use stops on every trade!