Thursday’s Stock Watch

Volume was
strong today, as the three major indexes advanced.
Both
the NYSE and Nasdaq qualified for accumulation days. Leading the action was
biotechnology and gold and silver, with broker/dealers, telecoms, and Internet
stocks making the biggest losses. New 52-week highs for the NYSE hit an
eye-opening 215, with the the lows list still quiet. Our “handles” list had two
breakouts.



Market breadth was mostly positive, with NYSE
advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of 2.54, and up volume over
down volume by a 1.94 ratio. Nasdaq advancing issues over declining issues came
in at 1.49, and down volume beat up volume by a 1.14 ratio.



The Dow Jones Industrial Average
(
$INDU |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed up 1.69% at 10381.73. The S&P 500
(
$SPX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed up 1.13% at 1130.46.
The Nasdaq [$COMPQ |$COMPQ] closed up 1.40% at 1767.08.




 




cellPadding=0 width=”70%” border=1 height=”202″>

































  NYSE size=2>NASDAQ
Advancing Issues
2,263

2,114
Declining
Issues

891

1,420
Advancing Volume
928,572,000

298,868,000
Declining Volume

7,624,000

903,219,000

Total
Volume

,431,869,000

1,028,375,000
New 52-week
Highs

215

88
New 52-week Lows
7

7

Top sectors:



Biotechnology
Index
(
$BTK.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

up 5.61% at 100.57.



Gold and Silver Inde
x
(
$XAU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up
4.61% at 69.80.

Losing sectors:



North American
Telecom

Index
(
$XTC.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 1.53% at
565.36,

and the


GSTI Internet Index
(
$GIN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
down 0.88% to 88.93.

New 52-Week Highs Consolidations:

Banking – 71

Real Estate – 63

Consumer Non-Durables – 28

Retail – 23

Diversified Services – 20

Leisure – 20

Health Services – 19

Insurance – 19

Manufacturing – 15

Automotive – 14

Food and Beverages – 14

Materials and Construction – 14

Specialty Retail – 12

Utilities – 12

Financial Services – 11

Consumer Durables – 10

Wholesale – 9

Aerospace/Defense – 6

Chemicals – 5

Drugs – 4

Telecommunications – 4

Tobacco  – 4

Watch List Action:

Breaking out today we had Panera Bread Company
(
PNRA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
rising 9.69% on over
two times average volume. Things didn’t look too promising after yesterday’s
distribution, but this breakout is good. Panera was part of this report before as it was one of our best performers for months. The company’s
last two quarters of earnings were 67% and 88% respectively, with 2002 earnings
estimated at 45%. The company also announced a stock split today. 




Also breaking out today we had Movie Gallery
(
MOVI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 6.90% on just
under two times average volume. This company’s last two quarters of earnings
growth came in at 400% and 175% respectively, with 2002 earnings estimates at
29%. As a cautionary note, the company has a return on equity rate of 7%, where
ideally we want 17% or higher. We will monitor this breakout for signs of
strength in the market.




Recent Breakouts

size=2>

We monitor the action of Recent Breakouts as an indicator of
the market health for IT traders. When breakouts are acting well, this is a good
sign for the likelihood of further sustainable breakouts. When breakouts are
failing, IT traders should be even more cautious.



Christopher & Banks Corporation
(
CHBS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, 
down 0.76% on above-average volume.



Group 1 Automotive
(
GPI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 4.26% on

slightly
above-average volume for an accumulation day.



size=2>Multimedia Games Inc.
(
MGAM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 4.96%

average volume for an accumulation day.






































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

52-Week High

Christopher & Banks


(
CHBS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

91

37.75

– 0.29

532,800

33.60

36.64

Group 1 Automotive


(
GPI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

90

43.10

+ 1.81

313,700

38.19

+ 1.09

size=2>Multimedia Games Inc.

size=2>
(
MGAM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

size=2>99

33.40

+ 1.55

369,700

30.91

37.05

Stocks Forming a Handle



Krispy Kreme Doughnuts
(
KKD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 1.76% on

below average volume for an accumulation day.



Movie Gallery
(
MOVI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 6.90%% on almost
twice average volume for a breakout.



size=2>
size=2>Panera Bread Co
(
PNRA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 9.75
% on
over twice average volume for a breakout.



































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts


(
KKD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

75

39.87

+ 0.69

620,500

44.12

Movie Gallery


(
MOVI |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

97

18.12

+1.17

381,300

17.99

size=2>Panera Bread Co

size=2>
(
PNRA |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

92

68.16

+ 6.02

436,300

66.23

Stocks Building A Base

















color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume

None
         

 


href=”mailto:danielb@tradingmarkets.com”>danielb@tradingmarkets.com


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