Wednesday’s Futures Setups
The Strong Dec. S&P 500 futures
(
SPZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) set the tone early on, with some of the big banking stocks such as
Citigroup
(
C |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) and Bank of America
(
BAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) delivering positive
earnings. The SPZ2 closed at 882 up over 4.80% a 40.39 move.
Click here for some key levels from Carolyn Boroden’s Futures
Perspectives.
The Dec. Nasdaq 100 futures
(
NDZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
were fueled in the morning by positive comments from a Goldman Sachs analyst on
Microsoft
(
MSFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating). MSFT will report next week and they are expected to
either meet or beat their earnings estimates. NDZ2 closed at 950 up 42.50 or
4.68%.
As good a day as it was
for the equity market, it was a hard day for the Treasury market
which experienced the heaviest losses in months. It really looks like bond
market participants clearly believe in this stock rally: The Dec.10-year note
(
TYZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) plunged nearly two points today to close at 113 995, down 1 165. The
yield rose 20 to 4.01%, almost a full half percentage point higher than the
recent low of 3.54%. The Dec. 30-yr bond fell down 2’05 to 110’05. There have
been rumors surfacing about a “large account” (Warren Buffett’s name has been
tossed around amid the rumors). This has some investors shifting out of bonds
and into stocks since last Friday and has been a catalyst for the weakness in
the Treasury market and the strength in the equity market.
Possible
short candidates:
Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
Corn ( CZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Momentum |
down |
Trade below 246 1/2 |
Soybeans ( SX2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Counter trend rally |
down | Trade below 528 |
Soymeal ( SMZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Counter trend rally |
down |
Trade below 166.30 |
Canadian Dollar ( CDZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Counter trend rally |
down | Trade below .6276 |
Dec. Lean Hogs ( LHZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Possible Turtle Soup Sell | down | break below 40.00 |
Possible
long candidates:
Contract |
Setup |
Direction |
Trigger |
Pork Bellies ( PBG3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Continuation out of pullback to 20-day MA |
up |
Trade above 75.05 |
Sugar ( SBH3 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from high |
up |
Trade above 6.85 |
Dec. wheat ( WZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Turtle soup plus one buy | up |
break above 3.84 |
Dec. wheat broke above the 3.84 level today. It could have a further move
to the upside with resistance at 4.00.
Please note that while there are strong trends, one bar or a series of bars
forming a setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This
contra move may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with
the main trend is always the highest probability trade.
Use stops on all your trades.