Wednesday’s Futures Setups

The
Dow
fell 45 to
7523, the Nasdaq
dropped 7 to 1271, and the S&P 500 fell 7 to 800.50. The U.N. vote on
the new resolution on Iraq will be delayed and long-term interest rates fell to
45-year lows. Warmer temperatures are forecast for the U.S.; natural gas traded
lower.

Long
Candidates:


Contract

Setup

Direction

Trigger

Wheat hammer up above
Tuesday’s high
Soybeans bounce
off 50 MA
up above
Tuesday’s high

 

Corn
(
CK3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is getting closer to a turn here, and may in
fact rally Tuesday. Odds are, however, that we have another down day, though. The double bottom looks good, so far,
and a couple of more days of pullback might set up a long. We may even have a
triple bottom. The close on Wheat
(
WK3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is trying to turn here, and Soybeans
(
SK3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
triggered for a gain — right to the 50% retracement of the last move
down move. We may go for the .618 retracement, which is the 573 3/4 – 574 level.
Bean Oil
(
BOH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
may be making a head and shoulders bottom here.

 

Short
Candidates:


Contract

Setup

Direction

Trigger

Canadian
Dollar
(
CDH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
wide
range bar 
down rallies
to .6811
Coffee

(
KCK3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
fall
from counter-trend rally
down rallies
to 60.35

The E-minis took out the 2/13 lows, and the next support appears to be the
October lows at 769. So much for the massively overcooked TRIN from yesterday.

The Canadian dollar
(
CDH3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
may have turned, and if
so could pull back here. 

Coffee
(
KCK3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
fell out of a counter-trend rally and looks
lower. 

Cocoa
(
CCK3 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is consolidating, and the move from
this area could be large. In this case, play the move in the direction of the
breakout.

Please
note that while there are strong trends, one bar or a series of bars forming a
setup can sometimes indicate a contra move for the next day. This contra move
may not be long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with the main
trend is always the highest probability trade.
Be
advised that some futures contracts are prone to gaps.

Remember,
use stops on all your trades.

Brice


Wightman

Â