Wednesday’s Futures Setups


U.S. Treasuries gained
for the first day in three
as the government went on heightened alert
for terrorism, a day before the first anniversary of the World Trade Center and
Pentagon attacks.
Demand for
the safest investments picked up after the Navy warned that Osama bin Laden’s
al-Qaeda network, which carried out the Sept. 11 attacks, may hit oil tankers in
the Persian Gulf and Red Sea. The Dec. 30-year U.S. Bond rose .59 to close at
111.21. The Dec. 10-year note rallied up .34 to 113.04.

All of the pre-9-11 anniversary
talk and warnings made for a volatile market in the equities. I’m not sure if
this is a good 0men, but the Sept. S&P 500 futures
(
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closed at
911, a positive close by 10.40. This close was just above the 38% retracement
level (908.84) drawn from the Aug/Sept. downtrend.

The Nasdaq 100 for Sept.
(
NDU2 |
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had some help today from the Semiconductors
(
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and Chip equipment sectors. The NDU2 is getting close to hitting its
20-day moving average. Today the 23.50 positive move pushed the Nasdaq 100
futures to 951.50, a 2.48% gain.

 

The Oct. crude oil
(
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looks like it has have run
right up against resistance around the $30.00 area. The crude market has been in
a steep uptrend since late last year. With the recent "saber-rattling" by the
United States, the downside in crude oil will be limited for at least the near
term. If prices do push above the $30.00 level, there is no strong resistance
until around the $33.00-per-barrel level.

 

Possible
short candidates:






Contract


Setup


Direction


Trigger

Dec wheat

(
WZ2 |
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possible
turtle soup plus one sell
Down break below 3.84
U.S.
Dollar
(
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Breakdown
from slanted triple bottom
Down break below 106.32


Nov.
frozen OJ
(
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Breakdown from head and shoulders Down

break
below 101.15

Dec. 30-year bond
(
USZ2 |
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possible turtle soup plus one sell Down
break below 112^00
Sept 10-year note
(
TYZ2 |
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possible turtle soup plus one sell
Down

break below 114


Possible long candidates:














Contract


Setup


Direction


Trigger


Dec Copper
(
HGZ2 |
Quote |
Chart |
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PowerRating)

Possible Turtle Soup Buy Candidate
Up


break
above .69
Heating
Oil
(
HOV2 |
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Triangle
at high
Up break
above .7670

Soybean Meal
(
SMZ2 |
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PowerRating)

Pullback from high

Up

break above 171.10

Soybeans
(
SX2 |
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PowerRating)

Pullback from high

Up
break
above 545 1/2
Sept. Japanese yen
(
JYU2 |
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Bullish symmetrical triangle Up break
above .8615


Oct. crude oil
(
CLV2 |
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Pullback


Up
break
above 29.00

Please note that while there are
strong trends, one bar or a series of bars forming a setup can sometimes
indicate a contra move for the next day. This contra move may not be
long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with the main trend is
always the highest probability trade.

Use stops on all your trades.