Wednesday’s Futures Setups
U.S. Treasuries gained
for the first day in three as the government went on heightened alert
for terrorism, a day before the first anniversary of the World Trade Center and
Pentagon attacks. Demand for
the safest investments picked up after the Navy warned that Osama bin Laden’s
al-Qaeda network, which carried out the Sept. 11 attacks, may hit oil tankers in
the Persian Gulf and Red Sea. The Dec. 30-year U.S. Bond rose .59 to close at
111.21. The Dec. 10-year note rallied up .34 to 113.04.
All of the pre-9-11 anniversary
talk and warnings made for a volatile market in the equities. I’m not sure if
this is a good 0men, but the Sept. S&P 500 futures
(
SPU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) closed at
911, a positive close by 10.40. This close was just above the 38% retracement
level (908.84) drawn from the Aug/Sept. downtrend.
The Nasdaq 100 for Sept.
(
NDU2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) had some help today from the Semiconductors
(
$SOX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and Chip equipment sectors. The NDU2 is getting close to hitting its
20-day moving average. Today the 23.50 positive move pushed the Nasdaq 100
futures to 951.50, a 2.48% gain.

The Oct. crude oil
(
CLV2 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating) looks like it has have run
right up against resistance around the $30.00 area. The crude market has been in
a steep uptrend since late last year. With the recent "saber-rattling" by the
United States, the downside in crude oil will be limited for at least the near
term. If prices do push above the $30.00 level, there is no strong resistance
until around the $33.00-per-barrel level.
Possible
short candidates:
|
|
|
|
|
Dec wheat ( WZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
possible turtle soup plus one sell |
Down | break below 3.84 |
| U.S. Dollar ( DXU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Breakdown from slanted triple bottom |
Down | break below 106.32 |
| Nov. frozen OJ ( JOX2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Breakdown from head and shoulders | Down | break below 101.15 |
| Dec. 30-year bond ( USZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
possible turtle soup plus one sell | Down | break below 112^00 |
| Sept 10-year note ( TYZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
possible turtle soup plus one sell |
Down | break below 114 |
Possible long candidates:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dec Copper |
Possible Turtle Soup Buy Candidate | Up |
break above .69 |
| Heating Oil ( HOV2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Triangle at high |
Up | break above .7670 |
| Soybean Meal ( SMZ2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from high |
Up |
break above 171.10 |
| Soybeans ( SX2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback from high |
Up |
break above 545 1/2 |
| Sept. Japanese yen ( JYU2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Bullish symmetrical triangle | Up | break above .8615 |
| Oct. crude oil ( CLV2 | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) |
Pullback |
Up |
break above 29.00 |
Please note that while there are
strong trends, one bar or a series of bars forming a setup can sometimes
indicate a contra move for the next day. This contra move may not be
long-lasting — maybe only for a day or two. Trading with the main trend is
always the highest probability trade.
Use stops on all your trades.