Wednesday’s Stock Watch


The major indexes posted
minor distribution on average volume Tuesday.
With two accumulation
days marking follow through last week, the Bulls appear to have one up on the
bears. To keep a bullish bias, we want to see volume drop off on the down days.
We’d also like to see stocks meeting our top fundamental and technical criteria
setting up in bases, but they’re not there. New 52-week highs have yet to show
up in force, though the new lows list is quiet.



From Tuesday’s action:



Market breadth was negative, with NYSE
declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 2.10, and down volume over
up volume by a 2.18 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing issues came in
at 1.45, and down volume beat up volume by a 1.14 ratio.




The Dow Jones Industrial Average
(
$INDU.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed 
-1.03%
at 8450.16. The S&P 500
(
$SPX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

closed
-1.06% at
890.16.
The Nasdaq
(
$COMPQ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
closed

+-1.29% at
1,292.77.





 




cellPadding=0 width=”70%” border=1 height=”180″>

































  NYSE size=2>NASDAQ
Advancing Issues
958

1,338

Declining  Issues

2,070

1,909
Advancing Volume
450,901,000

743,223,000
Declining Volume

1,018,480,000

936,944,000

Total
Volume

1,476,631,000

1,701,465,000
New 52-week
Highs

3

7
New 52-week Lows
11

4

Top sectors:

Health Services and Medical Appliances & Equipment.

Losing sectors:


Semiconductors, Major Airlines, Software, Telecoms, Internet,
Homebuilders, and Tobacco.

Watch List Action:


Apollo Group
(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
was hit with distribution Tuesday after its sector peer
Career Education Corp.
(
CECO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
reported earnings that disappointed. The
stock was halted by its 50-day moving average, and still remains within a
bullish channel above its breakout point.





Still in the game since breaking out, Mid Atlantic Medical Services
(
MME |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

posted distribution Tuesday. The stock is a member of the strong insurance
sector, and remains comfortably above its major moving averages. For the past
three weeks, the stock has made three accumulation days, and two distribution
days. If the stock pulls back we’d like to see it on lighter volume.





Recent Breakouts

size=2>

We monitor the action of Recent Breakouts as an indicator of
the market health for IT traders. When breakouts are acting well, this is a good
sign for the likelihood of further sustainable breakouts. When breakouts are
failing, IT traders should be even more cautious.













































































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

52-Week High

Apollo Group


(
APOL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

96

41.92

-3.73

2,469,600

39.60

46.15

Brown & Brown


(
BRO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

82

32.30

+0.38

243,300

31.59

 37.00

Education Mgt. Co.


(
EDMC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

92

41.87

-3.48

366,800

41.87

46.65

Hovnanian Enterprises


(
HOV |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

99

38.25

-1.15

755,200

32.90

40.56

International Game Technology


(
IGT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

95

72.85

-2.65

978,500

66.70

75.70

Mid Atlantic Medical Services


(
MME |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

98

42.00

-0.39

529,900

38.83

43.20

Wellpoint Health Network


(
WLP |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

94

85.63

-0.72

1,351,200

79.05

85.63

Stocks Forming a Handle




















color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS color=#ffffff size=2>Price color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume
Pivot

Commerce Bancorp.


(
CBH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

82

44.52

-1.28

750,900

47.80

CBH is not the prettiest of handles, but it’s all
we have now.


Stocks Building A Base


































color=#ffffff size=2>Company Name

color=#ffffff size=2>Symbol

color=#ffffff size=2>12 Month RS

color=#ffffff size=2>Price

color=#ffffff size=2>Price Change

color=#ffffff size=2>Average Volume

Chicos FAS


(
CHS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

97

19.74

-0.32

1,297,200

Coach Inc.


(
COH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

97

29.40

-0.02

935,500

Ross Stores Inc.


(
ROST |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

92

43.91

+0.31

1,014,400

We have added CHS and COH to the list as the have made their way back from
when recently posted as breakouts on this report.


href=”mailto:danielb@tradingmarkets.com”>danielb@tradingmarkets.com


If you are new to the “IT” strategy, be sure to
take a look at our

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.


Intermediate-Term Traders

Report is posted on
Tuesdays and Fridays. For other intermediate-term commentary, be sure to read

Mark Boucher
(Fridays),

Tim Truebenbach
(Tuesdays and Thursdays), and

Gary Kaltbaum
(Mondays and Thursdays).