What Trading Smaller Timeframes Can Do For You
Both major markets are in lazy
downtrends as we head to press on what has thus far been light volume.Â
Trades have been limited to the scalp
variety, which have been very possible if leveraging off the early three and/or
13-minute 15MA downtrend supports. The early pace has been vastly different from
recent war-related knee jerks (which by the way despite a great deal of
industry grumbling among longer-term “traders,” has had many scalpers doing
quite well), as many folks appear to be waiting for the longer-term chart
fog to clear.
With regard to my recent comments on scalping, the last few weeks have been a
virtual bonanza for short-term sharp-shooters as recent rhythms have provided a
tremendous amount of high-probability, low-risk ES trades for 1-3 points. Since
I’ve received an increasing amount of mail lately asking more about scalping,
and yes, I frequently scalp my Mini account on a three minute (or less) basis,
I’ll try to touch on those issues over time.Â
To preface the topic, however, suffice it to say that it is the vast minority
that have the required personality to do it successfully over time, and I often
discourage it, simply because such a style requires a tremendous amount of
extended focus and cat-like order-entry reflexes, not to mention a strong
win/loss ratio and highly efficient size management that must be honed over the
years.
So why do I do it? First, and as I’ve mentioned in recent columns, I enjoy
diversifying my trading among various timeframes, trading daily, 13-minute and
1-minute accounts. I find that balances risk extremely well. Second, I enjoy
being able to make many mistakes during the day and still ending the majority of
the days profitable. Screw up? No problem, scratch the dang thing and clear the
head. In fact I had my biggest bonehead move of the year yesterday as I
inadvertently typed in 10 (yes, that’s ten) times my normal size and had
to immediately exit it for a 0.50 to 0.75 loss. And on size, that’s a chunk. Yet
I was able to spend the last few hours in a “back to work” mode that exactly
offset the screw-up and the day ended positive. Third, it suits my personality
and I enjoy the challenge.
And while I feel strongly that trading smaller timeframes does increase trade
opportunities and the early learning curve for newer traders (I work with
many traders who simply watch me trade to increase their understanding of
longer-term charts … the shorter-term stuff simply increases the learning
opportunities), one must walk the fine line between highly effective
scalping and overtrading. The win/loss and trade size management must make up
for the commissions and those times when you’re simply out of rhythm. So again,
it’s not for everyone.
ES (S&P)Â Â Â Â Â
Thursday April 10, 2003 11:30 AM ET       NQ
(Nasdaq)

Moving Avg Legend:
5MA
15MA 60-Min 15MA
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