Why We May Be Set For A Lower Session Thursday

Stocks sank after cautious Fed
comments and a lukewarm sales forecast from Cisco
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. The S&P
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is also
slightly lower. Late yesterday, Cisco Systems reported third-quarter results
that beat estimates by a penny. However the company’s cautious comments of flat
revenues for the fourth quarter is putting a drag on tech stocks. Bonds are up
sharply and are back near their March highs.

The Dow Jones Industrial
Average

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fell 27.73 at 8,560.63. The S&P 500
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lost 4.77 at 929.62. The Nasdaq
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shed 16.95 at 1506.76.

The day’s leading sectors were Oil
Services

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, +2.70%, Paper
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, +1.11%, and Energy

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, +1.11%.

Weak today were Airlines
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,
-3.99%, Biotechs
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, -1.79%, and Semiconductors
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,
-2.41%.

In economic news, Wholesale
Inventories for March
came in at +1.00% versus estimates of + 0.2%.

The 10-year U.S. Note
is +235 at 116 145.

The dollar is +0.18 at
95.76.

Gold is +0.1 at 342.30.

Crude Oil +0.08 at
26.20.

Volume was
1,495,254,000 on
the NYSE, and at
1,899,459,000 on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is slightly
mixed
, with NYSE declining issues over advancing issues by a ratio of 1.09,
and down volume over up volume by a 1.56 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over
advancing issues are at 1.28, and down volume over up volume is at a 2.86
ratio.

Top Dow stocks are:

Coca-Cola
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, +2.25 at 43.27, Boeing

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, +.24 at 28.38, United Technologies
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, +.30 at
63.25, and Johnson & Johnson
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+.49 at 57.01.

Stocks in the news:

Black Box Corp.
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was up 10% on double its average volume. After accounting for special items, the
company reported fourth quarter results that bested estimates by 2 cents. The
company will also buy back an additional 1 million shares of its stock.

Soft drink giant Coca Cola
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was up 4.50% on heavy volume and earlier hit a three-month high. Morgan Stanley
upgraded the stock from “equal weight” to “over weight” as
Coke’s pricing power should improve in 2004.

Emerson Electric
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was down 5.5% on double its average volume. After the company reported second
quarter results that were down 14%, Emerson also cut its full year outlook.

Networking giant Cisco
Systems

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was down 2% after the company reported third quarter
results that beat estimates by a penny late yesterday. However Cisco expects
revenues for the fourth quarter to come in at $4.62 or flat compared to its
latest quarter.

Forest Labs
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was
down 3.5% on heavy volume. The company reported disappointing results in its Memantine compound for the treatment of nerve pain for diabetics.

Lamar Advertising
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was off 3.5% on more than triple its average volume. The company reported a wider
than expected first quarter loss of 20 cents per share versus estimates of 17
cents per share. Going forward, the company expects second quarter revenues to
come in at $206 million while analysts forecast was $211.5 million.

vincentm@tradingmarkets.com