Will We See $10 Oil Soon?

Lower crude oil sent the blue chips up today,
while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 slipped slightly.

The Dow closed at 9874.19, up 50.58, the third
gain this week.

The Nasdaq closed at 1900.72, down 2.47.

The S&P closed at 1141.88, up .67.

Strong sectors were airlines
(
$XAL.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up
5.54%, and transportation
(
$TRX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up 2.63%. Weak sectors were oil
service
(
$OSX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 10.58%, and the Oil Index
(
$OIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, down 4.24%

Oil was the big news today, trading at a
two-and-a-half-year low. In the OPEC meeting in Vienna yesterday, Saudi Oil
Minister Ali al-Naimi said the oil market has entered a “crisis mode”
due to slowing demand. December crude
(
CLZ1 |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is off $12 from its September
17 high. A potential oil price war is shaping up, with non-OPEC producers Russia
and Norway not agreeing to lower production levels. In London, oil prices fell
to $16.80, half their level of a year ago. Merrill Lynch downgraded many oil
service stocks. Weatherford
(
WFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 3.47 to 30.23, BJ Services
(
BJ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

lost .44 to 49.92, and Nabors
(
NBR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
slipped to 27.01, down 4.45.

Major oil producers were also down. Exxon Mobil
(
XOM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

fell 1.51 to 37.19, ChevronTexaco
(
CVX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
lost 2.82 to 83.80, and Royal Dutch
(
RD |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
dropped 1.55 to 47.50.

Airline stocks rose on lower crude prices, with
AMR Corp.
(
AMR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, up .81 to 18.75,
(
UAL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
up .82 to 12.71, and Northwest
(
NWAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

up 1.44 to 15.24. In other airline news, UAL said it would put Taser
International
(
TASR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
stun guns in every cockpit of its 500 planes. TASR
closed up 2.46 to 13.26.

A jump in the 10-yr note sent homebuilders down,
with Lennar
(
LEN |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
losing 2.60 to 37.97, KB Home
(
KBH |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
slipping 1.80 to
32.25, and Centex
(
CTX |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
falling 2.28 to 42.11.

Weight Watchers
(
WTW |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
issued IPO shares at
$24, and the stock quickly climbed to $30, closing just below that at 29.50, up 5.50.

At midnight last night, Microsoft
(
MSFT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

rolled out the Xbox game system. MSFT inched up .17 to 66.12.

In a meeting at its headquarters, Yahoo
(
YHOO |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

said it plans job cuts and will try to generate at least half its revenues from
non-advertising sources by 2004. YHOO lost .38 to close at 14.83.

The hotel industry reported that
revenue-per-room figures for last week were the best since September 11. Hilton
(
HLT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
,
Marriott
(
MAR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, Starwood
(
HOT |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and Hotel Reservations Network
(
ROOM |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

all made two-month highs.

Internet stock analyst Henry Blodgett is leaving
Merrill Lynch next year and plans to write a book about the Internet craze. The
New York Times
estimates his severance package is worth $2 million.

Dell reports earnings tonight, estimates are for .15.