Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 6): New Volatility Index From The CBOE
Good news. The CBOE just launched a new 1-year Volatility Index VIX1Y. This is significant and I’ll explain why in a minute. First, to make sure you know what the CBOE now offers and what it means, I’ll walk you through their five major Volatility Indexes. 1. VXST – 9-day Implied Volatility. Within VXST are two lesser […]
Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 5): The Best Leading Indicator of Stock Prices According to The Federal Reserve
In this issue of the Connors Research Traders Journal, we’ll look at a recent paper from the Federal Reserve which shows statistical evidence that the financial stocks are a leading indicator for both stock prices and economic cycles. In the pre-quant days, when observations were rarely quantified, professionals relied on certain types of inherent conditions […]
Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 4): Five Great Sites For VXX and Volatility Traders
Today I’d like to share with you five sites which I feel can have a positive impact on your trading if you trade VXX or any type of equity volatility. These sites are the ones I either subscribe to or regularly visit. Please note, if a site is not mentioned here it doesn’t mean I […]
TBD: Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 3): Stops (Still) Hurt
In my book Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work, we created a small firestorm with a chapter that was titled “Stops Hurt”. The chapter showed statistically that stops on pullbacks hurt performance (since publishing this test in the book many others have replicated it). Even stops placed 50% away (which few would even consider a stop) […]
Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 2): How To Increase The Sharpe Ratio of Your Portfolio
In this issue of The Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 2), we’ll delve into the insights of Peter Muller, who built PDT (Process Driven Trading), one of the greatest proprietary trading firms in the world for Morgan Stanley. Peter and his team then moved from Morgan Stanley to their own $5+ billion quant hedge fund. Reportedly, Peter […]
Connors Research Traders Journal (Volume 1): Does Mean Reversion Still Work?
Today, we’ll look at whether or not mean reversion trading still works (it does). You’ll learn The RSI 25 Strategy which has correctly predicted the short-term direction of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) over 91% of the time since 1993. You’ll also gain further insights which you can apply to your personal trading. For much […]
After 6 Good Years…
Today is the final day for the Daily Battle Plan. After 6 good years, we’ll finish 2014 with the ETF model portfolio in all cash. When I started the Daily Battle Plan, the world was very different than it was today. It was the 4th quarter of 2008 and the market was living through one […]
A Two-Day Pullback Here will Set Up a Nice Opportunity
The US market remains moderately overbought. As of now though, the US is the bastion of safety for the world as events in Europe and Asia continue to experience their short-term gyrations. A two-day pullback here will set up a nice opportunity to go long heading into 2015.
Trading will be Light, Hard to Imagine 2014 S&P Gains in the Low Teens to Disappear
The US market is overbought. There are high expectations for the market to continue to rise over the next three days and those expectations are reflected from last week’s buying. Trading will be light and it’s hard to imagine the powers that be will allow 2014 S&P gains in the low teens to disappear. Outside […]
The Quiet Upward Bias will Remain the Path of Least Resistance
The US market is very overbought but with light trading over the next few days, the quiet upward bias will remain the path of least resistance unless an out-of the ordinary event occurs, We’ll pick this back up again on Monday. Enjoy the Holiday!
The Powers That Be Want to See This Year Finish With Gains
Today’s commentary is identical to yesterdays. This could potentially be a quiet two weeks because its year end and due to last weeks rally, most funds will be looking to make sure the gains are booked. Headline news, especially from Europe and Russia are risks that are being reflected in the VIX. But the powers […]
A Two Day Pullback Required to Offer High Probability Edges
This could potentially be a quiet two weeks because its year end and due to last weeks rally, most funds will be looking to make sure the gains are booked. Headline news, especially from Europe and Russia are risks that are being reflected in the VIX. But the powers that be want to see this […]