The SPX last had a -5.0% correction from the 2194 8/15/16 high to the 2084 low on 11/4/16, which was a pullback to the 12-month EMA. Trump was elected 11/8/16 and the index closed at 2140. There was an 8.6 year cycle leg date at 2016.825 which was 10/28/16 versus the 11/4/16 2084 low, and… [Read More]
Geometric Market Timing is the Significant Factor
The SPX made a long term RST top of 2135 in May 2015 at the 1.618 Fib Extension [2137] of the 1576-667 bear market low before declining -12.5% into the Pi Time zone of 2015.75, followed by a rally to 2116, then the final double bottom low at 1810 on 2/11/16. The index has since… [Read More]
Yellen on Hold for Clinton
The SPX is virtually unchanged at 2139 after 17 months of trading following the long-term monthly RST 2135 high on 5/15/15, with the major 5 RSI monthly negative divergence. I said that the risk reward was not positive then, and to significantly cut back long exposure on any buy and hold SPX index portfolios. I… [Read More]