Uncertainty Reigns Supreme, Stocks Sink, China Says No

Uncertainty reigned supreme in the stock market today. China said no to the proposed stimulus package knocking stocks back from yesterday’s rally as hopes were dashed of Chinese support. Stocks hit levels not seen since 1996 as financials and auto makers dropped hard on an uncertain economic future. The critical Non Farm Payroll figure will be released tomorrow. The expected number is grim further weighing on stocks. The DJIA plunged -281.40 to 6594.44, the Nasdaq gave back -54.15 to 1299.59 and the broad based S&P 500 dropped -30.32 to 682.55.

Citigroup
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– Dropped below $1.00 intraday for the first time since 1986 as costs of protecting against default surged. Shares closed down 10.62% or 0.12 cents to $1.01/share.

Family Dollar Stores
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– Fought the trend, closing up 12.36% or $3.35 to $30.62/share upon beating analysts fiscal second quarter estimates by 18%.

Gymboree
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– Dropped hard 31.47% or $7.13 to $15.53/share after forecasting a sharp miss of analysts estimates.

Weight Watcher’s
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– Bucked the negative news by beating analysts estimates by 7.1%. Shares climbed 14.92% or $2.52 to $19.41/share.

Oil fell $1.77 to $43.55, Gold surged $21.10 to $927.80, and the fear index VIX jumped 5.49% to 50.17.

Market Snapshot

Dow

-281.40 6594.44

NASDAQ

-54.15 1299.59

S&P 500

-30.32 682.55

Economic
News

Personal Income (Jan): Consensus: -0.2%, Prior: -0.2%

Personal Spending (Jan): Consensus: 0.4%, Prior: -1.0%

Core PCE (Jan): Consensus: 0.1%, Prior: 0.0%

Construction Spending (Jan): Consensus: -1.5%, Prior: -1.4%

ISM Index (Feb): Consensus: 33.8, Prior: 35.6

Pending Home Sales (Jan): Consensus: -3.0%, Prior: -6.3%

Auto Sales (Feb): Consensus: NA, Prior: NA

Truck Sales (Feb): Consensus: NA, Prior: NA

ADP Employment Change (Feb): Consensus: -613K, Prior: -522K

ISM Services (Feb): Consensus: 41.3, Prior: 42.9

Crude Inventories (Feb 27): Consensus: NA, Prior: 717K

Fed Beige Book: Consensus: NA, Prior: NA

Productivity-Rev. (Q4): Consensus: 1.6%, Prior: 3.2%

Unit Labor Costs (Q4): Consensus: 3.4%, Prior: 1.8%

Initial Claims (Feb 28): Consensus: NA, Prior: 667K

Factory Orders (Jan): Consensus: -2.1%, Prior: -3.9%

Average Workweek (Feb): Consensus: 33.3, Prior: 33.3

Hourly Earnings (Feb): Consensus: 0.3%, Prior: 0.3%

Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb): Consensus: -615K, Prior: -598K

Unemployment Rate (Feb): Consensus: 7.9%, Prior: 7.6%

Consumer Credit (Jan): Consensus: -$4.0B, Prior: -$6.6B