Monday’s Options Alerts

Choppy, choppy, choppy
–  that’s how we’ll describe
today’s trading. Despite the multiple CVR sell signals and profit warnings from
Walt Disney
(
DIS |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
and H.J. Heinz
(
HNZ |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
, the markets held up fairly well and even
closed slightly higher. Today the VIX
(
$VIX.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped up on the open and
spent the day working its way down to close near the lows of the day. This
intraday shift in sentiment suggests that fear is once again
dropping. Today the VIX did pull more than 10% away from its 10-day moving
average, thus triggering a CVR
III
sell signal. This week has given us four CVR sell signals. The VXN
(
$VXN.X |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)

showed similar action as the VIX today, as it too gapped higher at the open and
spent the day working its way back down to close near its lows for the day. This intraday shift in sentiment suggests that
fear is subsiding. Today’s action triggered a CVR
I
buy signal today.

Points of Significance:

AstroPower Inc.
(
APWR |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
lost almost 15%
today after it missed analysts’ estimates. The stock also broke below its 50-day
moving average on triple its average trading volume. Options volume were heavy as it
traded more than double its average daily contract volume. Adelphia
Communications
(
ADLAC |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
gapped lower on ten times its average trading
volume after they reported wider losses. Stericycle
(
SRCL |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
broke
above its 20-day moving average on triple its average trading volume. Options
volume was heavy as it traded nearly four times its average contract volume.
Sherwin-Williams
(
SHW |
Quote |
Chart |
News |
PowerRating)
is pulling back after recent highs, and its implied
volatility is at a new high.

Volatility
Index
Close Net
Change
Signals/Direction %
Above/Below 10 Day Moving Average
Significance
VIX 28.76 – 1.12 CVR
III
SELL
10.18 % Under At Extreme
VXN 58.59 – 0.16 CVR
I
BUY
2.22 %
Under
Not At Extreme

Abnormal Options Volume With Price Movement
– Abnormal options volume (calls and puts) with stock price movement

Name Symbol Net
% Change
Volume Avg.
Volume
AstroPower Inc. APWR – 14.66 959 372
Optical
Robotics Corp.
OPMR
11.61
1150 310
Adelphia
Communications
ADLAC
10.07
2156 445
Stericycle SRCL +
9.12
1209 291
Albany Molecular
Research
AMRI – 9.11 490 146
Cross
Timbers Oil
XTO +
7.97
2030 385

Stocks With Biggest Spikes in Implied
Volatility
– Stocks with biggest increases or decreases in implied
volatility compared to previous day.

Spike Up

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Sherman Williams SHW 38 32.2 37.5 25.7
Xcel Energy XEL 25.9 22.6 31.6 24.3
Cognos COGN 53.8 47.2 74.3 46
MBIA MBI 45.3 39.9 52.5 25.3
Visible Genetics, Inc VGIN 104.1 93.7 106 58.6
Manpower Inc. MAN 38.8 35.2 49.7 27.7

Spike Down

Name Symbol IV Previous
IV
High
IV
Low
IV
Sylvan Learning System SLVN 49 67.5 70.4 41.3
Newport News
Shipbuilding
NNS 18.6 22 30.7 15.1
New Plan
Excel Realty
NXL 27.9 32.8 36.8 20
Trizec Hahn TZH 30.7 35.8 33.6 29.2
Duke Weeks Realty DRE 24.9 28.6 30.4 19.2
Nvidia NVDA 75.8 86.4 100.9 61.6

Please use stops on every trade!