Not So Confident, Nor Durable

Debt futures are plunging one day ahead of the Fed
announcement on monetary policy after economic reports show the economy may be
healthier than many observers had believed. Durable goods, new home sales, and
consumer confidence all came in stronger than expected, unwinding some of the
economic pessimism that has led to the recent rally in debt futures. On the
release of the consumer confidence numbers, prices across the yield curve fell.
September T-bonds
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have fallen nearly one point. 

Notably for tomorrow, the July Fed Funds futures
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fell to price in a 40% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut for
tomorrow from a 56% chance earlier in the session. 

Dominating the Momentum-5
List
, pigs remain on a tear. August pork bellies
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are
testing the island head from April.
August lean hogs
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are setting new contract highs. 

Wheat
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completed a measured move out of fractal
head and shoulders from head swing highs on May 1 and June 1, down to 246.
Although every major grain contract is on the Implosion-5 List or the
New 10-Day Low List
, this may be an area of capitulation and proximity to a
bottom. 


Dow futures

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, from the Implosion-5 List
are lower in choppy trade.
Nasdaq 100 futures

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and 
S&P futures
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are also triggering out of Pullback From Lows
setups.Â